Tompkins R G, Burke J F, Schoenfeld D A, Bondoc C C, Quinby W C, Behringer G C, Ackroyd F W
Ann Surg. 1986 Sep;204(3):272-81. doi: 10.1097/00000658-198609000-00006.
Mortality at the Adult Burn Center of the Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) has declined from 24% in 1974 to an average of 7% for 1979-1984. From 1974 to 1976, prompt eschar excision and immediate wound closure therapy was initiated and standardized. After 1976, this therapy was the standard treatment. Detailed statistical analysis is necessary to determine the influence of this treatment on the improved survival. Therefore, logistical regression analysis was used to examine the influence of variables such as burn size, age, and treatment on mortality for 1103 patients during 1974-1984. Survival rates during the treatment development phase (1974-1977) were compared to the survival rates of the last 5 years of standardized excisional treatment (1979-1984). Survival rates for the standardized excisional treatment were also compared to the results of previously published studies from this hospital that were probit analyses of burn mortality for 1939-1955 and 1955-1970. This latter comparison provided 45 years' experience with burn mortality at a single institution. Results of the statistical analysis of the survival data from 1974 to 1984 indicate that mortality strongly depends on burn size, age, and treatment (p less than 0.001 for each independent variable). In addition, length of stay (LOS) for the total group decreased significantly from 32 to 22 days. The improved survival for 1974-1984 occurred independently of changes in the annual distributions of burn size, age, or sex. Comparison of survival rates shows improved survival during standardized excisional treatment when compared to the treatment development phase. The most extensive increases in survival during 1974-1984 were seen in the treatment of elderly patients and patients with massive burn injuries. Survival for the period 1974-1984 was markedly improved as compared to the 1939-1970 published experiences.
马萨诸塞州总医院(MGH)成人烧伤中心的死亡率已从1974年的24%降至1979 - 1984年的平均7%。1974年至1976年,开始并标准化了及时的焦痂切除和立即伤口闭合治疗。1976年后,这种治疗成为标准治疗方法。需要进行详细的统计分析来确定这种治疗对生存率提高的影响。因此,采用逻辑回归分析来研究1974 - 1984年间1103例患者的烧伤面积、年龄和治疗等变量对死亡率的影响。将治疗发展阶段(1974 - 1977年)的生存率与标准化切除治疗最后5年(1979 - 1984年)的生存率进行比较。还将标准化切除治疗的生存率与该医院先前发表的研究结果进行比较,这些研究是对1939 - 1955年和1955 - 1970年烧伤死亡率的概率分析。后一种比较提供了单一机构45年的烧伤死亡率经验。1974年至1984年生存数据的统计分析结果表明,死亡率强烈依赖于烧伤面积、年龄和治疗(每个自变量的p值均小于0.001)。此外,整个组的住院时间(LOS)从32天显著减少至22天。1974 - 1984年生存率的提高与烧伤面积、年龄或性别的年度分布变化无关。生存率比较显示,与治疗发展阶段相比,标准化切除治疗期间生存率有所提高。1974 - 1984年期间,老年患者和大面积烧伤患者的生存率提高最为显著。与1939 - 1970年发表的经验相比,1974 - 1984年期间的生存率有显著提高。