Tompkins R G, Remensnyder J P, Burke J F, Tompkins D M, Hilton J F, Schoenfeld D A, Behringer G E, Bondoc C C, Briggs S E, Quinby W C
Shriners Burns Institute, Boston, Massachusetts.
Ann Surg. 1988 Nov;208(5):577-85. doi: 10.1097/00000658-198811000-00006.
During the past 19 years, mortality due to burn injuries has markedly declined for children at the Boston Unit of the Shriners Burns Institute (SBI), dropping from an average of 9% of SBI admissions during 1968-1970 to an average of 1% during 1981-1986. Detailed statistical analysis using logistic regression was necessary for determining whether this decline in mortality was explained by changes in patient characteristics, such as age or burn size, which are known to strongly influence the outcome of burn injuries. This dramatic decline in mortality during the past 19 years was not the result of change in the age of the patients or their burn sizes; rather, it may be attributed to improvements in burn care. Results of this statistical analysis indicated that, for burn injury patients whose ages ranged from 11 days to 19 years, age had no demonstrable effect on survival from a burn injury. Children survived burn injuries at least as well if not better than the young adult (20-29 years of age). Also, infants (less than 1 year old) survived as well as other children (2-19 years old). Dramatic improvement in survival occurred in patients with burns covering more than 50% of the body surface area. Since 1979, mortality has been essentially eliminated for patients with burn sizes less than 70% of the total body surface area (of 296 patients with burns covering 15-69% of the total body surface area, only two patients died). During the period 1979-1986, 29 of 37 patients (78%) survived an 80% or greater total body surface area thermal injury.
在过去19年中,施莱宁烧伤研究所(SBI)波士顿分部的儿童烧伤死亡率显著下降,从1968 - 1970年SBI入院患者的平均9%降至1981 - 1986年的平均1%。使用逻辑回归进行详细的统计分析对于确定死亡率的下降是否可由患者特征的变化(如年龄或烧伤面积)来解释是必要的,已知这些特征会强烈影响烧伤的预后。过去19年中死亡率的显著下降并非患者年龄或烧伤面积变化的结果;相反,这可能归因于烧伤护理的改善。该统计分析结果表明,对于年龄在11天至19岁之间的烧伤患者,年龄对烧伤后的生存没有明显影响。儿童烧伤后的存活率至少与年轻成年人(20 - 29岁)一样好,甚至可能更好。此外,婴儿(小于1岁)的存活率与其他儿童(2 - 19岁)相当。烧伤面积超过体表面积50%的患者生存率有显著提高。自1979年以来,烧伤面积小于体表面积70%的患者基本没有死亡(在296例烧伤面积占体表面积15 - 69%的患者中,仅2例死亡)。在1979 - 1986年期间,37例烧伤面积达体表面积80%或更大的热烧伤患者中有29例(78%)存活。