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住院农药中毒患者的死亡率预测因素

Predictors of Mortality in Hospitalized Patients With Pesticide Poisoning.

作者信息

Sontakke Tushar, Kalantri Shriprakash

机构信息

Department of Medicine, Jawaharlal Nehru Medical College, Datta Meghe Institute of Higher Education & Research, Wardha, IND.

Department of Medicine, Mahatma Gandhi Institute of Medical Sciences, Wardha, IND.

出版信息

Cureus. 2023 Jul 2;15(7):e41284. doi: 10.7759/cureus.41284. eCollection 2023 Jul.

DOI:10.7759/cureus.41284
PMID:37533608
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10393197/
Abstract

Background Organophosphorus poisoning (OPP) is a prevalent mortality rate that varies from 2% to 25% method of suicides worldwide. ICUs commonly employ various scoring systems such as the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II), and International Programme on Chemical Safety (IPCS) Poison Severity Score (PSS) tools for risk stratification for mortality prediction scores and prognosis. This study aims to compare the predictive validity of these systems in hospitalized patients suffering from pesticide poisoning in a teaching hospital located in central India. Methods A prospective study design was utilized to gather relevant variables for calculating the GCS, APACHE II, SAPS II, and IPCS scales in patients affected by pesticide poisoning. Data on the administered doses of atropine and pralidoxime (PAM) were also recorded. Results We have identified several independent predictors of mortality among patients suffering from pesticide poisoning. The GCS (P=0.001), tracheostomy (P=0.001), APACHE II score (P=0.01), and SAPS II score (P=0.001) were all found to be significant indicators of mortality. Interestingly, the GCS demonstrated comparable predictive ability for mortality when compared to the APACHE II (0.82 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.70 to 0.94)) and SAPS II (0.83 (95% CI 0.72 to 0.94)) scores, with no statistically significant difference (P=0.75) observed. Among the variables used in the IPCS PSS (GCS, heart rate, systolic blood pressure (BP), intubation, and pupil size), only GCS (P=0.05), and intubation (P=0.01) exhibited a significant association with mortality. Conclusions Our study determined that the GCS score, SAPS II, IPCS PSS, and APACHE II exhibited equal efficacy in predicting mortality. Notably, the GCS offered an added advantage due to its simplicity and minimal time requirements compared to the other scales.

摘要

背景

有机磷中毒(OPP)是一种常见的自杀方式,全球死亡率在2%至25%之间。重症监护病房(ICU)通常采用各种评分系统,如格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)、急性生理与慢性健康状况评估II(APACHE II)、简化急性生理学评分II(SAPS II)以及国际化学品安全规划署(IPCS)中毒严重程度评分(PSS)工具,用于进行死亡率预测评分和预后的风险分层。本研究旨在比较这些系统在印度中部一家教学医院住院的农药中毒患者中的预测效度。方法:采用前瞻性研究设计,收集计算农药中毒患者的GCS、APACHE II、SAPS II和IPCS量表所需的相关变量。还记录了阿托品和氯解磷定(PAM)的给药剂量数据。结果:我们确定了农药中毒患者中几个独立的死亡预测因素。GCS(P = 0.001)、气管切开术(P = 0.001)、APACHE II评分(P = 0.01)和SAPS II评分(P = 0.001)均被发现是死亡的重要指标。有趣的是,与APACHE II(0.82(95%置信区间(CI)0.70至0.94))和SAPS II(0.83(95%CI 0.72至0.94))评分相比,GCS在死亡率预测方面表现出相当的预测能力,未观察到统计学上的显著差异(P = 0.75)。在IPCS PSS使用的变量(GCS、心率、收缩压(BP)、插管和瞳孔大小)中,只有GCS(P = 0.05)和插管(P = 0.01)与死亡率有显著关联。结论:我们的研究确定,GCS评分、SAPS II、IPCS PSS和APACHE II在预测死亡率方面表现出同等效力。值得注意的是,与其他量表相比,GCS因其简单性和最少的时间要求而具有额外优势。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c11c/10393197/d5bde18f96c3/cureus-0015-00000041284-i02.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c11c/10393197/2d6340894215/cureus-0015-00000041284-i01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c11c/10393197/d5bde18f96c3/cureus-0015-00000041284-i02.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c11c/10393197/2d6340894215/cureus-0015-00000041284-i01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c11c/10393197/d5bde18f96c3/cureus-0015-00000041284-i02.jpg

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