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利用历史和近期归一化植被指数(NDVI)时间序列证明全球陆地生物群落变化的证据

Proof of evidence of changes in global terrestrial biomes using historic and recent NDVI time series.

作者信息

Khormizi Hadi Zare, Ghafarian Malamiri Hamid Reza, Alian Sahar, Stein Alfred, Kalantari Zahra, Ferreira Carla Sofia Santos

机构信息

Range Management, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran.

Remote Sensing, Department of Geography, Yazd University, Yazd, Iran.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 Jul 28;9(8):e18686. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e18686. eCollection 2023 Aug.

Abstract

Climate change affects plant dynamics and functioning of terrestrial ecosystems. This study aims to investigate temporal changes in global vegetation coverage and biomes during the past three decades. We compared historic annual NDVI time series (1982, 1983, 1984 and 1985) with recent ones (2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018), captured from NOAA-AVHRR satellite observations. To correct the NDVI time series for missing data and outliers, we applied the Harmonic Analysis of Time Series (HANTS) algorithm. The NDVI time series were decomposed in their significant amplitude and phase given their periodic fluctuation, except for ever green vegetation. Our findings show that the average NDVI values in most biomes have increased significantly (F-value<0.01) by 0.05 ndvi units over during the past three decades, except in tundra, and deserts and xeric shrublands. The highest rates of change in the harmonic components were observed in the northern hemisphere, mainly above 30° latitude. Worldwide, the mean annual phase reduced by 9° corresponding to a 9 days shift in the beginning of the growing season. Annual phases in the recent time series reduced significantly as compared to the historic time series in the five major global biomes: by 14.1, 14.8, 10.6, 9.5, and 22.8 days in boreal forests/taiga; Mediterranean forests, woodlands, and scrubs; temperate conifer forests; temperate grasslands, savannas, and shrublands; and deserts, and xeric shrublands, respectively. In tropical and subtropical biomes, however, changes in the annual phase of vegetation coverage were not statistically significant. The decrease in the level of phases and acceleration of growth and changes in plant phenology indicate the increase in temperature and climate changes of the planet.

摘要

气候变化影响陆地生态系统的植物动态和功能。本研究旨在调查过去三十年全球植被覆盖和生物群落的时间变化。我们将从美国国家海洋和大气管理局先进甚高分辨率辐射计(NOAA - AVHRR)卫星观测获取的历史年度归一化植被指数(NDVI)时间序列(1982年、1983年, 1984年和1985年)与近期的时间序列(2015年、2016年、2017年和2018年)进行了比较。为了校正NDVI时间序列中的缺失数据和异常值,我们应用了时间序列谐波分析(HANTS)算法。考虑到除常绿植被外的周期性波动,NDVI时间序列被分解为其显著的振幅和相位。我们的研究结果表明,在过去三十年中,除苔原、沙漠和干旱灌木丛外,大多数生物群落的平均NDVI值显著增加(F值<0.01),增幅为0.05个NDVI单位。谐波分量变化率最高的地区出现在北半球,主要在北纬30°以上。在全球范围内,年平均相位减少了9°,相当于生长季节开始时间提前了9天。与历史时间序列相比,近期时间序列在全球五个主要生物群落中的年相位显著减少:北方森林/泰加林减少了14.1天;地中海森林、林地和灌丛减少了14.8天;温带针叶林减少了10.6天;温带草原、稀树草原和灌木丛减少了9.5天;沙漠和干旱灌木丛减少了22.8天。然而,在热带和亚热带生物群落中,植被覆盖年相位的变化没有统计学意义。相位水平的降低、生长加速以及植物物候变化表明地球温度升高和气候变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8c06/10404691/a9305e7ae96b/gr1.jpg

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