Spencer Noah
Department of Economics, University of Toronto, 150 St. George Street, Toronto, ON, M5S 3G7, Canada.
J Health Econ. 2023 Sep;91:102798. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2023.102798. Epub 2023 Jul 28.
This paper evaluates the causal effect of drug decriminalization on unintentional drug overdose deaths in a context with relatively poor access to drug treatment services. Using the synthetic control method, I find that when Oregon decriminalized small amounts of drugs in February 2021, it caused 182 additional unintentional drug overdose deaths to occur in Oregon in 2021. This represents a 23% increase over the number of unintentional drug overdose deaths predicted if Oregon had not decriminalized drugs.
本文评估了在药物治疗服务获取相对匮乏的背景下，药物合法化对意外药物过量死亡的因果效应。使用合成控制法，我发现，当俄勒冈州在2021年2月将少量药物合法化时，这导致该州在2021年额外出现了182例意外药物过量死亡。这比假设俄勒冈州未将药物合法化时预测的意外药物过量死亡数量增加了23%。
