Business School, Shandong Management University, Jinan, China.
Center of Emergency Management, Chongqing Academy of Governance, Chongqing, China.
PLoS One. 2023 Aug 10;18(8):e0289727. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0289727. eCollection 2023.
Forest fires have a great impact on the ecological environment. The government needs to take measures to control forest fires. Forest fires are easily affected by wind speed and other weather conditions, and the difficulty of extinguishing forest fires is easily affected by terrain complexity. Effective management methods can protect the important ecological functions of forests, thereby maintaining long-term development and economic efficiency. The government can put out the fire by remote monitoring, personnel extinguishing and helicopter extinguishing. Different from most articles on how to eliminate forest fires from the technical point of view, this article mainly analyzes from the two aspects of optimizing resource allocation and guiding policy formulation. This article constructs the differential game model under these three modes, and then obtains the equilibrium result. And the comparative analysis. Finally, the conclusion is drawn. The stronger the wind, the more residents need to flee. However, strong winds are not conducive to crews and helicopters fighting the fire. Rather than fighting fires, residents are more inclined to detect forest fires in time through remote monitoring. When the personnel can effectively control the fire, the personnel fire extinguishing mode is preferentially selected. Otherwise, helicopter firefighting mode should be selected.
森林火灾对生态环境有很大的影响。政府需要采取措施控制森林火灾。森林火灾很容易受到风速和其他天气条件的影响，扑灭森林火灾的难度也容易受到地形复杂的影响。有效的管理方法可以保护森林的重要生态功能，从而保持长期发展和经济效益。政府可以通过远程监控、人员灭火和直升机灭火来灭火。与大多数从技术角度消除森林火灾的文章不同，本文主要从优化资源配置和引导政策制定两个方面进行分析。本文构建了这三种模式下的微分博弈模型，然后得出均衡结果和比较分析。最后得出结论。风越强，居民越需要逃离。然而，大风不利于人员和直升机灭火。与其灭火，居民更倾向于通过远程监控及时发现森林火灾。当人员能够有效控制火势时，优先选择人员灭火模式。否则，应选择直升机灭火模式。
