Geers Jolien, Van den Bussche Karen, Vandeloo Bert, Kimenai Dorien M, Van Loo Ines, Michiels Vincent, Plein Daniele, Beckers Stefan, Muylle Teun, Lieten Siddhartha, Cosyns Bernard, Compté Nathalie, Argacha Jean-François
Department of Cardiology, Universitair Ziekenhuis Brussel, Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB), 1090 Brussels, Belgium.
BHF Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH9 3FB, UK.
Diagnostics (Basel). 2023 Aug 1;13(15):2561. doi: 10.3390/diagnostics13152561.
Moderate to severe frailty is a predictor of a poor outcome after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), but little is known about the prognostic importance of different geriatric frailty markers in an overall fit or pre-frail geriatric population undergoing TAVR. This retrospective study aimed to examine the incremental value of adding patient frailty markers to conventional surgical risk score to predict all-cause mortality in relatively fit elderly patients undergoing TAVR. Overall patient frailty was assessed using the comprehensive geriatric assessment frailty index (CGA-FI). Multivariable Cox regression models were used to evaluate relationships of different geriatric frailty markers with all-cause mortality and single and combined frailty models were compared to a baseline model that included EuroSCORE II factors. One hundred relatively fit geriatric patients (84 ± 4 years old, mean CGA-FI 0.14 ± 0.05) were included, and 28% died during a median follow-up of 24 months. After adjustment, risk of depression (geriatric depression scale 15 (GDS-15)) and malnutrition remained significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR 4.381, 95% CI 1.787-10.743; = 0.001 and HR 3.076, 95% CI 1.151-8.217; = 0.025, respectively). A combined frailty marker model including both GDS-15 and malnutrition on top of EuroSCORE II improved the discriminative ability to predict all-cause mortality (change in c-index: + 0.044). Screening for those frailty markers on top of the traditionally used EuroSCORE II may improve risk stratification and prognosis in relatively fit geriatric patients undergoing TAVR.
中重度衰弱是经导管主动脉瓣置换术(TAVR)后预后不良的一个预测指标,但对于接受TAVR的整体健康或衰弱前期老年人群中不同老年衰弱标志物的预后重要性,人们了解甚少。这项回顾性研究旨在检验在传统手术风险评分基础上增加患者衰弱标志物,对于预测接受TAVR的相对健康老年患者全因死亡率的增量价值。使用综合老年评估衰弱指数(CGA-FI)评估患者的整体衰弱情况。采用多变量Cox回归模型评估不同老年衰弱标志物与全因死亡率的关系,并将单一和联合衰弱模型与包含欧洲心脏手术风险评估系统II(EuroSCORE II)因素的基线模型进行比较。纳入了100例相对健康的老年患者(84±4岁,平均CGA-FI为0.14±0.05),在中位随访24个月期间,28%的患者死亡。调整后,抑郁(老年抑郁量表15项(GDS-15))和营养不良风险仍与全因死亡率显著相关(风险比分别为4.381,95%置信区间1.787 - 10.743;P = 0.001和风险比3.076,95%置信区间1.151 - 8.217;P = 0.025)。在EuroSCORE II基础上纳入GDS-15和营养不良的联合衰弱标志物模型提高了预测全因死亡率的判别能力(c指数变化:+0.044)。在传统使用的EuroSCORE II基础上筛查这些衰弱标志物,可能会改善接受TAVR的相对健康老年患者的风险分层和预后。