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多层次联合脆弱性模型用于层次聚类的二分类和生存数据。

Multilevel joint frailty model for hierarchically clustered binary and survival data.

机构信息

School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.

出版信息

Stat Med. 2023 Sep 20;42(21):3745-3763. doi: 10.1002/sim.9829. Epub 2023 Jun 13.

Abstract

Hierarchical data arise when observations are clustered into groups. Multilevel models are practically useful in these settings, but these models are elusive in the context of hierarchical data with mixed multivariate outcomes. In this article, we consider binary and survival outcomes and assume the hierarchical structure is induced by clustering of both outcomes within patients and clustering of patients within hospitals which frequently occur in multicenter studies. We introduce a multilevel joint frailty model that analyzes the outcomes simultaneously to jointly estimate their regression parameters and explicitly model within-patient correlation between the outcomes and within-hospital correlation separately for each outcome. Estimation is facilitated by a computationally efficient residual maximum likelihood method that further predicts cluster-specific frailties for both outcomes and circumvents the formidable challenges induced by multidimensional integration that complicates the underlying likelihood. The performance of the model and estimation procedure is investigated via extensive simulation studies. The practical utility of the model is illustrated through simultaneous modeling of disease-free survival and binary endpoint of platelet recovery in a multicenter allogeneic bone marrow transplantation dataset that motivates this study.

摘要

当观察值被聚类成组时,就会出现层次数据。在这些情况下,多层次模型非常实用,但在具有混合多元结果的层次数据的背景下,这些模型很难实现。在本文中,我们考虑二项和生存结果,并假设层次结构是由患者内的两种结果的聚类和医院内的患者聚类引起的,这种情况在多中心研究中经常发生。我们引入了一种多层次联合脆弱性模型,该模型同时分析结果,共同估计它们的回归参数,并分别为每个结果显式地对结果之间的患者内相关性和医院内相关性进行建模。通过一种计算效率高的残差最大似然方法进行估计,该方法进一步预测了两个结果的特定于簇的脆弱性,并避免了多维积分引起的艰巨挑战,多维积分使基础似然变得复杂。通过广泛的模拟研究来研究模型和估计过程的性能。通过同时对多中心异基因骨髓移植数据集的无病生存和血小板恢复的二元终点进行建模,说明了该模型的实际应用,该数据集激发了这项研究。

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