Bayat Tuğrul, İlarslan Kenan, Shahbaz Muhammad
Logistics Management Department, Afyon Kocatepe University, Afyonkarahisar, Türkiye.
Accounting and Finance Department, Afyon Kocatepe University, Afyonkarahisar, Türkiye.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Sep;30(43):97842-97856. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-29255-5. Epub 2023 Aug 19.
Increasing carbon emissions (CO) due to factors such as energy consumption (enco), industrialization, increase in world population, and decrease in green areas with the industrial revolution is one of the main causes of both climate change and global warming. In this context, due to the increasing commercial activities in Turkiye, the rapid growth of energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the logistics sector alert the government. However, there is a lack of standard measures for evaluating GHG emissions generated from freight transport operations. To improve this situation, Turkiye's policymakers need to evaluate GHG emissions for energy saving and pollution reduction. This background leads us to examine the GHG emission trajectories and features of Turkiye's freight transport patterns in the last three decades. In this context, it is aimed to determine the impacts of financial development (findev), GDP per capita, energy consumption, and amount of freight carried by rail and road on CO emissions within the framework of 1990-2021 time-series data for Turkiye. By doing so, the ARDL bound testing cointegration test is employed and observes that independent variables have similar and different effects on CO emissions. Energy consumption, findev, and per capita income variables have a positive effect on CO emissions in Turkiye. According to these results, it is seen that the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) is valid in Turkiye. However, the effect of rail and road freight transport (FT) on CO emissions is negative. The unexpected finding is related to road FT. The amount of freight transported by road has a decreasing effect on CO emissions in Turkiye. This paradoxical situation in Turkiye may be due to the developments in the transportation infrastructure, which has enabled the convergence of space and time in recent years, young and modern vehicle fleets, and the efficiency provided through logistics companies. The findings will assist in formulating specific and effective policies for Turkiye's transport sector.
由于能源消耗、工业化、世界人口增长以及工业革命导致绿地面积减少等因素,碳排放(CO)不断增加,这是气候变化和全球变暖的主要原因之一。在此背景下,由于土耳其商业活动的增加,物流部门能源消耗和温室气体(GHG)排放的快速增长警示着政府。然而,缺乏评估货运业务产生的温室气体排放的标准措施。为改善这种情况,土耳其的政策制定者需要评估温室气体排放以实现节能和减排。这一背景促使我们研究土耳其过去三十年货运模式的温室气体排放轨迹和特征。在此背景下,旨在根据土耳其1990 - 2021年时间序列数据框架,确定金融发展(findev)、人均国内生产总值、能源消耗以及铁路和公路货运量对CO排放的影响。通过这样做,采用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)边界检验协整检验,并观察到自变量对CO排放有相似和不同的影响。能源消耗、findev和人均收入变量对土耳其的CO排放有正向影响。根据这些结果,可见环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)在土耳其是有效的。然而,铁路和公路货运(FT)对CO排放的影响是负面的。意外的发现与公路FT有关。土耳其公路运输的货运量对CO排放有减少作用。土耳其这种矛盾的情况可能是由于交通基础设施的发展,近年来实现了时空融合、年轻且现代化的车辆车队以及物流公司提供的效率。这些发现将有助于为土耳其运输部门制定具体有效的政策。