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评估与能源相关的甲烷排放与心血管疾病负担之间的关系:对 73 个国家的横断面研究。

Assessing the relationship between energy-related methane emissions and the burden of cardiovascular diseases: a cross-sectional study of 73 countries.

机构信息

Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Colima, km. 9 Colima-Coquimatlán Highway, 28400, Coquimatlán, Colima, Mexico.

University Center for Biomedical Research, University of Colima, 25 de Julio Avenue 965, 28045, Colima, Colima, Mexico.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 Aug 19;13(1):13515. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-40444-7.

Abstract

The energy industry significantly contributes to anthropogenic methane emissions, which add to global warming and have been linked to an increased risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). This study aims to evaluate the relationship between energy-related methane emissions and the burden of CVD, measured in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), in 2019. We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of datasets from 73 countries across all continents. The analyzed datasets included information from 2019 on environmental energy-related methane emissions, burden of DALYs due to CVD. The age-standardized prevalence of obesity in adults and life expectancy at birth were retrieved. The relationship between the variables of interest was evaluated using multiple linear regression models. In the multiple model, we observed a positive linear association between methane emissions and the log-transformed count of DALYs related to CVD. Specifically, for each unit increase in energy-related methane emissions, the burden of CVD increased by 0.06% (95% CI 0.03-0.09%, p < 0.001). The study suggests that reducing methane emissions from the energy industry could improve public health for those at risk of CVD. Policymakers can use these findings to develop strategies to reduce methane emissions and protect public health.

摘要

能源行业对人为甲烷排放有重大贡献,而甲烷排放会加剧全球变暖,并增加心血管疾病(CVD)的风险。本研究旨在评估 2019 年与能源相关的甲烷排放与 CVD 负担(以残疾调整生命年(DALY)衡量)之间的关系。我们对来自各大洲 73 个国家的数据集进行了横断面分析。分析的数据集中包含了 2019 年与环境能源相关的甲烷排放以及 CVD 导致的 DALY 负担的信息。我们还检索了成年人的肥胖标准化患病率和出生时的预期寿命。使用多元线性回归模型评估了感兴趣变量之间的关系。在多元模型中,我们观察到甲烷排放与 CVD 相关的对数 DALY 计数之间存在正线性关联。具体而言,能源相关甲烷排放每增加一个单位,CVD 的负担就会增加 0.06%(95%CI 0.03-0.09%,p<0.001)。研究表明,减少能源行业的甲烷排放可能会改善那些面临 CVD 风险的人的公共健康。政策制定者可以利用这些发现制定减少甲烷排放和保护公众健康的策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1a7b/10439906/ca6a12405272/41598_2023_40444_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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