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可接种疫苗和不可接种疫苗的病毒性皮肤感染的全球演变:谷歌趋势分析

Worldwide Evolution of Vaccinable and Nonvaccinable Viral Skin Infections: Google Trends Analysis.

作者信息

Simonart Thierry, Lam Hoai Xuân-Lan, de Maertelaer Viviane

机构信息

Department of Dermatology, Delta Hospital, Centre Hospitalier Interrégional Edith Cavell, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium.

Department of Dermatology, St Pierre - Brugmann - Hôpital Universitaire des Enfants Reine Fabiola University Hospitals, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium.

出版信息

JMIR Dermatol. 2022 Oct 4;5(4):e35034. doi: 10.2196/35034.

DOI:10.2196/35034
PMID:37632891
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10334945/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Most common viral skin infections are not reportable conditions. Studying the population dynamics of these viral epidemics using traditional field methods is costly and time-consuming, especially over wide geographical areas.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore the evolution, seasonality, and distribution of vaccinable and nonvaccinable viral skin infections through an analysis of Google Trends.

METHODS

Worldwide search trends from January 2004 through May 2021 for viral skin infections were extracted from Google Trends, quantified, and analyzed.

RESULTS

Time series decomposition showed that the total search term volume for warts; zoster; roseola; measles; hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD); varicella; and rubella increased worldwide over the study period, whereas the interest for Pityriasis rosea and herpes simplex decreased. Internet searches for HFMD, varicella, and measles exhibited the highest seasonal patterns. The interest for measles and rubella was more pronounced in African countries, whereas the interest for HFMD and roseola was more pronounced in East Asia.

CONCLUSIONS

Harnessing data generated by web searches may increase the efficacy of traditional surveillance systems and strengthens the suspicion that the incidence of some vaccinable viral skin infections such as varicella, measles, and rubella may be globally increasing, whereas the incidence of common nonvaccinable skin infections remains stable.

摘要

背景

大多数常见的病毒性皮肤感染并非须上报的疾病。使用传统实地方法研究这些病毒流行的人群动态既费钱又耗时,尤其是在广阔的地理区域。

目的

本研究旨在通过分析谷歌趋势来探索可接种疫苗和不可接种疫苗的病毒性皮肤感染的演变、季节性和分布情况。

方法

从谷歌趋势中提取并量化分析了2004年1月至2021年5月全球范围内病毒性皮肤感染的搜索趋势。

结果

时间序列分解显示,在研究期间,全球范围内疣、带状疱疹、幼儿急疹、麻疹、手足口病(HFMD)、水痘和风疹的搜索词总量增加,而玫瑰糠疹和单纯疱疹的关注度下降。对HFMD、水痘和麻疹的网络搜索呈现出最高的季节性模式。非洲国家对麻疹和风疹的关注度更高,而东亚地区对HFMD和幼儿急疹的关注度更高。

结论

利用网络搜索产生的数据可能会提高传统监测系统的效能,并强化这样一种怀疑,即一些可接种疫苗的病毒性皮肤感染,如水痘、麻疹和风疹的发病率可能在全球范围内上升,而常见的不可接种疫苗的皮肤感染发病率保持稳定。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f13a/10334945/a36b4ae8fcbe/derma_v5i4e35034_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f13a/10334945/944caf6b71cf/derma_v5i4e35034_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f13a/10334945/a36b4ae8fcbe/derma_v5i4e35034_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f13a/10334945/944caf6b71cf/derma_v5i4e35034_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f13a/10334945/a36b4ae8fcbe/derma_v5i4e35034_fig2.jpg

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Need of care in interpreting Google Trends-based COVID-19 infodemiological study results: potential risk of false-positivity.需要注意的是,基于谷歌趋势的 COVID-19 信息流行病学研究结果的解读:存在假阳性的潜在风险。
BMC Med Res Methodol. 2021 Jul 18;21(1):147. doi: 10.1186/s12874-021-01338-2.
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Reliability of Google Trends: Analysis of the Limits and Potential of Web Infoveillance During COVID-19 Pandemic and for Future Research.
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Front Res Metr Anal. 2021 May 25;6:670226. doi: 10.3389/frma.2021.670226. eCollection 2021.
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Effect of early measles vaccination on long-term protection: A systematic review.早期麻疹疫苗接种对长期保护效果的系统评价。
Vaccine. 2021 May 21;39(22):2929-2937. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.04.012. Epub 2021 Apr 27.
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