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开发一种用于预测初级保健中颈动脉夹层的诊断支持工具。

Development of a diagnostic support tool for predicting cervical arterial dissection in primary care.

机构信息

School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, University of Queensland, QLD, Australia.

School of Health Sciences, The University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia.

出版信息

J Man Manip Ther. 2024 Apr;32(2):173-181. doi: 10.1080/10669817.2023.2250164. Epub 2023 Aug 31.

DOI:10.1080/10669817.2023.2250164
PMID:37651397
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10956904/
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Cervical arterial dissection (CAD) is an important cause of stroke in young people which may be missed because early features may mimic migraine or a musculoskeletal presentation. The study aimed to develop a diagnostic support tool for early identification of CAD.

DESIGN

Retrospective observational study.

SETTING

Tertiary hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

Radiologically confirmed CAD cases ( = 37), non-CAD stroke cases ( = 20), and healthy controls ( = 100).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The presence of CAD is confirmed with imaging. Predictive variables included risk factors and clinical characteristics of CAD. Variables with a p-value <0.2 included in a multivariable model. Predictive utility of the model is assessed by calculating area underthe ROC curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The model including four variables: age 40-55 years (vs < 40), trauma, recent onset headache, and > 2 neurological features, demonstrated excellent discrimination: AUC of 0.953 (95% CI: 0.916, 0.987). A predictive scoring system (total score/7) identified an optimal threshold of ≥ 3 points, with a sensitivity of 87% and specificity of 79%.

CONCLUSIONS

The study identified a diagnostic support tool with four variables to predict increased risk of CAD. Validation in a clinical sample is needed to confirm variables and refine descriptors to enable clinicians to efficiently apply the tool.Optimum cutoff scores of ≥ 3/7 points will help identify those in whom CAD should be considered and further investigation instigated. The potential impact of the tool is to improve early recognition of CAD in those with acute headache or neck pain, thereby facilitating more timely medical intervention, preventing inappropriate treatment, and improving patient outcomes.Wordcount: 3195.

摘要

目的

颈内动脉夹层(CAD)是年轻人中风的一个重要原因,由于早期特征可能类似于偏头痛或肌肉骨骼表现,因此可能会被漏诊。本研究旨在开发一种诊断支持工具,以早期识别 CAD。

设计

回顾性观察性研究。

地点

三级医院。

参与者

经影像学证实的 CAD 病例( = 37)、非 CAD 中风病例( = 20)和健康对照者( = 100)。

主要观察指标

通过影像学确认 CAD 的存在。预测变量包括 CAD 的危险因素和临床特征。p 值<0.2 的变量纳入多变量模型。通过计算 ROC 曲线下面积(AUC)评估模型的预测效用。

结果

包括年龄 40-55 岁(vs<40 岁)、创伤、近期发作的头痛和 > 2 种神经功能特征 4 个变量的模型具有出色的鉴别能力:AUC 为 0.953(95%CI:0.916,0.987)。一个预测评分系统(总分/7)确定了一个最佳阈值 ≥ 3 分,其敏感性为 87%,特异性为 79%。

结论

本研究确定了一种具有四个变量的诊断支持工具,用于预测 CAD 的风险增加。需要在临床样本中进行验证,以确认变量并改进描述符,使临床医生能够有效地应用该工具。最佳截断分数 ≥ 3/7 分将有助于识别那些应考虑 CAD 的患者,并进一步进行调查。该工具的潜在影响是改善对急性头痛或颈部疼痛患者的 CAD 的早期识别,从而促进更及时的医疗干预,避免不适当的治疗,并改善患者的结局。词数:3195。

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International Framework for Examination of the Cervical Region for Potential of Vascular Pathologies of the Neck Prior to Musculoskeletal Intervention: International IFOMPT Cervical Framework.肌肉骨骼干预前颈部血管病变潜力的颈椎区域检查国际框架:国际IFOMPT颈椎框架
J Orthop Sports Phys Ther. 2023 Jan;53(1):7-22. doi: 10.2519/jospt.2022.11147. Epub 2022 Sep 13.
2
Penalization and shrinkage methods produced unreliable clinical prediction models especially when sample size was small.惩罚和收缩方法会产生不可靠的临床预测模型,尤其是在样本量较小时。
J Clin Epidemiol. 2021 Apr;132:88-96. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2020.12.005. Epub 2020 Dec 8.
3
Development of practical recommendations for diagnostic accuracy studies in low-prevalence situations.制定适用于低患病率情况下诊断准确性研究的实用建议。
J Clin Epidemiol. 2019 Oct;114:38-48. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2019.05.018. Epub 2019 May 28.
4
Diagnostic Accuracy Studies.诊断准确性研究。
Semin Nucl Med. 2019 Mar;49(2):87-93. doi: 10.1053/j.semnuclmed.2018.11.005. Epub 2018 Dec 13.
5
STARD for Abstracts: essential items for reporting diagnostic accuracy studies in journal or conference abstracts.摘要的STARD:在期刊或会议摘要中报告诊断准确性研究的必备项目。
BMJ. 2017 Aug 17;358:j3751. doi: 10.1136/bmj.j3751.
6
Timing of Incident Stroke Risk After Cervical Artery Dissection Presenting Without Ischemia.无缺血表现的颈动脉夹层后发生卒中风险的时间
Stroke. 2017 Mar;48(3):551-555. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.116.015185.
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Adverse events associated with the use of cervical spine manipulation or mobilization and patient characteristics: A systematic review.与颈椎手法治疗或松动相关的不良事件及患者特征:系统综述。
Musculoskelet Sci Pract. 2017 Apr;28:32-38. doi: 10.1016/j.msksp.2017.01.008. Epub 2017 Jan 23.
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STARD 2015 guidelines for reporting diagnostic accuracy studies: explanation and elaboration.《STARD 2015诊断准确性研究报告指南:解释与详述》
BMJ Open. 2016 Nov 14;6(11):e012799. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-012799.
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J Orthop Sports Phys Ther. 2015 Jul;45(7):503-11. doi: 10.2519/jospt.2015.5877. Epub 2015 May 21.