Department of Energy, Environmental & Chemical Engineering, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Office of Atmospheric Protection, Climate Change Division, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C., USA.
Nat Commun. 2023 Sep 2;14(1):5349. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-41086-z.
Ambient fine particulate matter (PM) is the world's leading environmental health risk factor. Quantification is needed of regional contributions to changes in global PM exposure. Here we interpret satellite-derived PM estimates over 1998-2019 and find a reversal of previous growth in global PM air pollution, which is quantitatively attributed to contributions from 13 regions. Global population-weighted (PW) PM exposure, related to both pollution levels and population size, increased from 1998 (28.3 μg/m) to a peak in 2011 (38.9 μg/m) and decreased steadily afterwards (34.7 μg/m in 2019). Post-2011 change was related to exposure reduction in China and slowed exposure growth in other regions (especially South Asia, the Middle East and Africa). The post-2011 exposure reduction contributes to stagnation of growth in global PM-attributable mortality and increasing health benefits per µg/m marginal reduction in exposure, implying increasing urgency and benefits of PM mitigation with aging population and cleaner air.
环境细颗粒物 (PM) 是全球主要的环境健康风险因素。需要量化各地区对全球 PM 暴露变化的贡献。本研究通过卫星对 1998-2019 年 PM 进行估算,发现全球 PM 空气污染的增长趋势发生逆转,这主要归因于 13 个地区的贡献。与污染水平和人口规模都相关的全球人口加权 (PW) PM 暴露,从 1998 年 (28.3μg/m) 增加到 2011 年的峰值 (38.9μg/m),之后稳步下降(2019 年为 34.7μg/m)。2011 年以后的变化与中国的暴露减少有关,并减缓了其他地区(特别是南亚、中东和非洲)的暴露增长。2011 年以后的暴露减少有助于全球 PM 归因死亡率的增长停滞,并增加了每微克/立方米边际暴露减少的健康效益,这意味着随着人口老龄化和空气质量改善,PM 减排的紧迫性和效益日益增加。