Barry Tomás, Kasemiire Alice, Quinn Martin, Deasy Conor, Bury Gerard, Masterson Siobhan, Segurado Ricardo, Murphy Andrew
UCD School of Medicine, University College Dublin, Dublin, Leinster, D04 V1W8, Ireland.
UCD Centre for Support and Training in Analysis and Research, School of Public Health, Physiotherapy and Sports Science, University College Dublin, Dublin, Leinster, D04 V1W8, Ireland.
HRB Open Res. 2023 Oct 31;6:17. doi: 10.12688/hrbopenres.13699.1. eCollection 2023.
Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a leading cause of preventable mortality that now affects almost 3,000 people each year in Ireland. Survival is low at 6-7%, compared to a European average of 8%. The Irish Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Registry (OHCAR) prospectively gathers data on all OHCA in Ireland where emergency medical services attempted resuscitation.The Irish health system has undergone several developments that are relevant to OHCA care in the period 2012-2020. OHCAR data provides a means of exploring temporal trends in OHCA incidence, care, and outcomes over time. It also provides a means of exploring whether system developments were associated with a change in key outcomes.This research aims to summarise key trends in available OHCAR data from the period 2012 - 2020, to explore and model predictors of bystander CPR, bystander defibrillation, and survival, and to explore the hypothesis that significant system level temporal developments were associated with improvements in these outcomes.
The following protocol sets out the relevant background and research approach for an observational study that will address the above aims. Key trends in available OHCAR data (2012 - 2020) will be described and evaluated using descriptive summaries and graphical displays. Multivariable logistic regression will be used to model predictors of 'bystander CPR', 'bystander defibrillation' and 'survival to hospital discharge' and to explore the effects (if any) of system level developments in 2015/2016 and the COVID-19 pandemic (2020) on these outcomes.
The findings of this research will be used to understand temporal trends in the care processes and outcomes for OHCA in Ireland over the period 2012-2020. The results can further be used to optimise future health system developments for OHCA in both Ireland and internationally.
院外心脏骤停(OHCA)是可预防死亡的主要原因,目前在爱尔兰每年影响近3000人。生存率较低,为6%-7%,而欧洲平均水平为8%。爱尔兰院外心脏骤停登记处(OHCAR)前瞻性收集了爱尔兰所有急救医疗服务机构尝试进行复苏的院外心脏骤停数据。在2012年至2020年期间,爱尔兰医疗系统经历了多项与院外心脏骤停护理相关的发展。OHCAR数据提供了一种探索院外心脏骤停发病率、护理及结果随时间变化趋势的方法。它还提供了一种探索系统发展是否与关键结果变化相关的方法。本研究旨在总结2012年至2020年期间OHCAR现有数据的关键趋势,探索并建立旁观者心肺复苏、旁观者除颤及生存的预测模型,并探索重大系统层面的时间发展与这些结果改善相关的假设。
以下方案阐述了一项观察性研究的相关背景和研究方法,该研究将实现上述目标。将使用描述性总结和图形展示来描述和评估OHCAR现有数据(2012年至2020年)的关键趋势。多变量逻辑回归将用于建立“旁观者心肺复苏”、“旁观者除颤”和“出院存活”的预测模型,并探索2015/2016年系统层面发展及2020年新冠疫情对这些结果的影响(如有)。
本研究结果将用于了解2012年至2020年期间爱尔兰院外心脏骤停护理过程和结果的时间趋势。这些结果可进一步用于优化爱尔兰及国际上未来针对院外心脏骤停的医疗系统发展。