Department of Community Health Techniques, Health and Medical Technical College, Al-Furat Al-Awsat Technical University, Kufa, Iraq.
Department of Building and Constructions Engineering Techniques, Engineering Technical College/Al-Najaf, Al-Furat Al-Awsat Technical University, Kufa, Iraq.
Niger Postgrad Med J. 2023 Jul-Sep;30(3):250-257. doi: 10.4103/npmj.npmj_121_23.
This study aimed to detect the impact of politics, security and health on the escalation of road traffic accidents (RTAs) and their consequences in Iraq for the period 2015-2020.
The data of this cross-sectional study were obtained from the annual reports of RTA statistics from the Central Statistical Organisation of the Iraqi Ministry of Planning. The statistical analysis of data was done using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences.
In this study, it was noted that the rate of RTAs, injuries and deaths increased from 16% to 19.5%, from 16.5% to 17.3% and from 16.2% to 20%, respectively, for the years 2015-2019, while the rates of RTAs, injuries and deaths in 2020 recorded a clear decrease compared to the rest of the years under study, and the rates were as follows: 14.8%, 14.4% and 14.1%, respectively. According to the types of traffic accidents, the rate of crashes recorded the highest rate of 51% in all years of the study compared to the run over, overturn and other unclassified accidents, which were 37%, 10% and 2%, respectively, and it was revealed that crashes, run over and other unclassified incidents increased from 5% to 20%, from 17% to 19% and from 18% to 26%, respectively, for the years 2015-2019, whereas all types of RTAs in 2020 were recorded the lowest rates compared to other years under study. Al-Basra, Baghdad, Al-Najaf and Babylon were recorded the highest rates of traffic accidents for the 6 years under study, with a rate of 13.3%, 11.7%, 11.1% and 10.4%, respectively.
Although traffic accidents were not recorded in the years 2015, 2016 and 2017 for the governorates of Nineveh and Anbar due to the occupation of the terrorist Islamic State, traffic accidents maintained their levels due to internal migration. It was also noted that the rate of road accidents was the highest in 2019 compared to the years under study due to the liberation of occupied cities, the return of safety and the return of recording accident data again, while the year 2020 recorded a clear decrease in the rate of road accidents, especially in the first half of it due to the October protests that led to the suspension of all government institutions, universities and schools. The second reason for the decrease in the second half of 2020 is attributed to the lockdown of corona. It seems that the political, security, military and health factors have an effective impact on the traffic reality.
本研究旨在检测政治、安全和健康因素对 2015-2020 年伊拉克道路交通碰撞事故（RTA）及其后果升级的影响。
本横断面研究的数据来自伊拉克规划部中央统计组织的 RTA 统计年度报告。数据的统计分析使用社会科学统计软件包完成。
在这项研究中，我们注意到 2015-2019 年，RTA、伤害和死亡的发生率分别从 16%上升至 19.5%、从 16.5%上升至 17.3%和从 16.2%上升至 20%，而 2020 年 RTA、伤害和死亡的发生率与研究期间的其他年份相比明显下降，发生率分别为 14.8%、14.4%和 14.1%。根据交通事故类型，碰撞事故的发生率最高，为 51%，在所有研究年份均高于碾压、翻车和其他未分类事故，分别为 37%、10%和 2%，并且我们发现，碰撞事故、碾压和其他未分类事故从 2015 年至 2019 年分别增加了 5%至 20%、从 17%至 19%和从 18%至 26%，而 2020 年所有类型的 RTA 发生率与研究期间的其他年份相比均为最低。在研究的 6 年期间，巴士拉、巴格达、纳杰夫和巴比伦记录的交通事故发生率最高，分别为 13.3%、11.7%、11.1%和 10.4%。
尽管由于恐怖组织伊斯兰国的占领，尼尼微和安巴尔两省在 2015 年、2016 年和 2017 年没有记录交通事故，但由于内部移民，交通事故仍保持在原有水平。我们还注意到，由于被占领城市的解放、安全的恢复和再次记录事故数据，2019 年的道路交通事故发生率与研究期间相比最高，而 2020 年道路交通事故发生率明显下降，特别是在 2020 年上半年，由于导致所有政府机构、大学和学校停摆的 10 月抗议活动。下半年下降的第二个原因是新冠疫情的封锁。看起来，政治、安全、军事和健康因素对交通现状有有效影响。
