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旧酒换新瓶:应用新型动态 ARDL 模拟方法探讨能源效率、金融发展、经济增长、外国直接投资和城市化对二氧化碳排放的影响。

Old wine in a new bottle: Applying the novel dynamic ARDL simulations approach to explore the impact of energy efficiency, financial development, economic growth, foreign direct investment, and urbanization on CO emissions.

机构信息

Scool of Economics and Management, Xinjiang University, Urumqi, 830046, China.

College of Economics, Vinh University, Vinh, Vietnam.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Jul;31(34):46266-46280. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-29405-9. Epub 2023 Sep 11.

Abstract

Achieving carbon neutrality targets is crucial while considering the adverse impacts of carbon dioxide emissions (CE) on human life and the ecosystem. Therefore, its socioeconomic drivers have frequently been probed in the existing body of literature. Therefore, we investigate the impact of energy efficiency, FDI, financial development, urbanization, and economic growth on CE in Pakistan from 1975 to 2020. For this purpose, we apply the novel dynamic ARDL simulation approach to retrieve the short- and long-run estimates. The empirical results confirm that cointegration exists among the considered variables. Further, both the short- and long-run results reveal that energy efficiency impedes emissions, whereas urbanization, financial development, and FDI increase emissions. Considering the outcomes, there is a need to enhance energy efficiency in Pakistan. For this purpose, investment in technological advancements and innovations is required. Moreover, R&D in the energy sector should be promoted.

摘要

在考虑二氧化碳排放(CE)对人类生活和生态系统的不利影响时,实现碳中和目标至关重要。因此,其社会经济驱动因素在现有文献中经常被探讨。因此,我们研究了 1975 年至 2020 年期间能源效率、外国直接投资、金融发展、城市化和经济增长对巴基斯坦 CE 的影响。为此,我们应用新的动态 ARDL 模拟方法来获取短期和长期估计值。实证结果证实了所考虑变量之间存在协整关系。此外,短期和长期结果都表明,能源效率阻碍了排放,而城市化、金融发展和外国直接投资则增加了排放。考虑到这些结果,巴基斯坦需要提高能源效率。为此,需要对技术进步和创新进行投资。此外,还应促进能源部门的研发。

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