Richardson Katherine, Steffen Will, Lucht Wolfgang, Bendtsen Jørgen, Cornell Sarah E, Donges Jonathan F, Drüke Markus, Fetzer Ingo, Bala Govindasamy, von Bloh Werner, Feulner Georg, Fiedler Stephanie, Gerten Dieter, Gleeson Tom, Hofmann Matthias, Huiskamp Willem, Kummu Matti, Mohan Chinchu, Nogués-Bravo David, Petri Stefan, Porkka Miina, Rahmstorf Stefan, Schaphoff Sibyll, Thonicke Kirsten, Tobian Arne, Virkki Vili, Wang-Erlandsson Lan, Weber Lisa, Rockström Johan
Globe Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.
Sci Adv. 2023 Sep 15;9(37):eadh2458. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adh2458. Epub 2023 Sep 13.
This planetary boundaries framework update finds that six of the nine boundaries are transgressed, suggesting that Earth is now well outside of the safe operating space for humanity. Ocean acidification is close to being breached, while aerosol loading regionally exceeds the boundary. Stratospheric ozone levels have slightly recovered. The transgression level has increased for all boundaries earlier identified as overstepped. As primary production drives Earth system biosphere functions, human appropriation of net primary production is proposed as a control variable for functional biosphere integrity. This boundary is also transgressed. Earth system modeling of different levels of the transgression of the climate and land system change boundaries illustrates that these anthropogenic impacts on Earth system must be considered in a systemic context.
本次地球边界框架更新发现,九个边界中的六个已被突破,这表明地球如今已远远超出人类安全运行空间。海洋酸化已接近突破边界,而气溶胶负荷在局部地区超过了边界。平流层臭氧水平略有恢复。所有先前确定已被跨越的边界,其跨越程度都有所增加。由于初级生产驱动着地球系统的生物圈功能,因此建议将人类对净初级生产的占用作为衡量生物圈功能完整性的控制变量。这个边界也已被突破。对气候和土地系统变化边界不同跨越程度的地球系统建模表明,必须在系统背景下考虑这些人类活动对地球系统的影响。