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加强手机使用法律规定与警方报告的追尾事故率之间的关联。

The association between strengthened cellphone laws and police-reported rear-end crash rates.

机构信息

The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS), VA, United States.

The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS), VA, United States.

出版信息

J Safety Res. 2023 Sep;86:127-136. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2023.04.012. Epub 2023 May 11.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Prior evaluations of the connection between cellphone bans and crashes show unclear results. California, Oregon, and Washington enacted legislation (effective in 2017) to update earlier bans specific to handheld conversation and texting. This study evaluated the relationship between the laws and rear-end rates, a crash type sensitive to visual-manual cellphone use, in California, Oregon, and Washington.

METHOD

Negative binomial regression compared the change in monthly per capita rear-end crash rates in California, Oregon, and Washington before and after the law changes relative to two control states, Colorado and Idaho, during 2015-2019. Analyses examined (a) rear-end crashes with injuries in all three study states, including minor to fatal injuries; and (b) rear-end crashes of all severities in California and Washington, including property-damage-only crashes and crashes with injuries; Oregon was excluded from this analysis because of a 2018 change to its reporting criteria for property-damage-only crashes.

RESULTS

Washington's strengthened law was associated with a significant 7.6% reduction in the rate of monthly rear-end crashes of all severities relative to the controls. Law changes in Oregon and Washington were associated with significant reductions of 8.8% and 10.9%, respectively, in the rates of monthly rear-end crashes with injury relative to the controls. California did not experience changes in rear-end crash rates of all severities or with injuries associated with the strengthened law.

CONCLUSION

The results of this study are mixed, with law changes associated with significant reductions in rear-end crash rates in two of the three study states. Differences in the wording of the laws, levels of enforcement, and sanction severity may help explain the divergent results.

PRACTICAL APPLICATION

Crash reductions in Oregon and Washington suggest that enacting legislation that comprehensively bans practically all visual-manual cellphone activity may have made the laws easier to enforce and clarified to drivers that handheld cellphone use is unacceptable in these states.

摘要

引言

先前对手机禁令与事故之间关系的评估结果并不明确。加利福尼亚州、俄勒冈州和华盛顿州颁布了立法(2017 年生效),对先前专门针对手持通话和短信的禁令进行了更新。本研究评估了这些法律与追尾事故率之间的关系,追尾事故是一种对视觉-手动手机使用敏感的事故类型,发生在加利福尼亚州、俄勒冈州和华盛顿州。

方法

使用负二项回归比较了 2015 年至 2019 年,加利福尼亚州、俄勒冈州和华盛顿州在法律变更前后相对于两个对照州(科罗拉多州和爱达荷州)每月人均追尾事故率的变化。分析考察了(a)包括从轻微到致命伤在内的所有三种研究州的追尾碰撞事故;以及(b)加利福尼亚州和华盛顿州所有严重程度的追尾碰撞事故,包括仅财产损失碰撞和有人员受伤的碰撞;俄勒冈州由于其仅财产损失碰撞的报告标准在 2018 年发生变化,因此被排除在该分析之外。

结果

华盛顿州加强后的法律与对照州相比,所有严重程度的每月追尾事故率显著降低了 7.6%。俄勒冈州和华盛顿州的法律变更与对照州相比,分别导致每月受伤追尾事故率显著降低了 8.8%和 10.9%。加利福尼亚州没有经历过与加强后的法律相关的所有严重程度或与受伤相关的追尾事故率变化。

结论

本研究结果喜忧参半,三个研究州中有两个州的法律变更与追尾事故率的显著降低相关。法律措辞、执法水平和制裁严厉程度的差异可能有助于解释不同的结果。

实际应用

俄勒冈州和华盛顿州的事故减少表明,颁布全面禁止几乎所有视觉-手动手机活动的立法可能使这些法律更容易执行,并向司机表明在这些州,手持手机使用是不可接受的。

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