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2020 年葡萄牙因 COVID-19 而失去的寿命与其他欧洲国家的比较。

Years of life lost by COVID-19 in Portugal and comparison with other European countries in 2020.

机构信息

NOVA National School of Public Health, Public Health Research Centre, Universidade NOVA de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal.

Comprehensive Health Research Centre, Universidade NOVA de Lisboa, Avenida Padre Cruz, 1600-560, Lisbon, Portugal.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2021 Jun 2;21(1):1054. doi: 10.1186/s12889-021-11128-6.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has been measured in different metrics, mostly by counting deaths and its impact on health services. Few studies have attempted to calculate years of life lost (YLL) to COVID-19 and compare it with YLL due to other causes in different countries.

METHODS

We calculated YLL to COVID-19 from week10 to week52 in 2020 for eight European countries by methods defined by the WHO. We calculated excess YLL by subtracting the average YLL from 2017 to 2019 to the YLL in 2020. Our analysis compared YLL to COVID-19 and the excess YLL of non-COVID-19 causes across countries in Europe.

RESULTS

Portugal registered 394,573 cases and 6619 deaths due to COVID-19, accounting for 25,395 YLL in just 10 months. COVID-19 was responsible for 6.7% of all deaths but accounted for only 4.2% of all YLL. We estimate that Portugal experienced an excess of 35,510 YLL (+ 6.2%), of which 72% would have been due to COVID-19 and 28% due to non-COVID-19 causes. Spain, Portugal, and the Netherlands experienced excess YLL to non-COVID-19 causes. We also estimated that Portugal experienced an excess of 10,115 YLL due to cancer (3805), cardiovascular diseases (786) and diseases of the respiratory system (525).

CONCLUSION

COVID-19 has had a major impact on mortality rates in Portugal, as well as in other European countries. The relative impact of COVID-19 on the number of deaths has been greater than on the number of YLL, because COVID-19 deaths occur mostly in advanced ages.

摘要

背景

新冠疫情的影响已通过多种指标进行了衡量,其中大多数指标都是通过计算死亡人数及其对卫生服务的影响来衡量的。很少有研究尝试计算新冠疫情导致的生命损失年数(YLL),并将其与不同国家因其他原因导致的 YLL 进行比较。

方法

我们采用世卫组织定义的方法,计算了 2020 年第 10 周至第 52 周期间八个欧洲国家因新冠疫情导致的 YLL。我们通过从 2017 年至 2019 年的平均 YLL 中减去 2020 年的 YLL,计算了超额 YLL。我们的分析比较了欧洲各国因新冠疫情和非新冠疫情导致的 YLL。

结果

葡萄牙因新冠疫情报告了 394573 例病例和 6619 例死亡,仅在 10 个月内就导致 25395 人 YLL。新冠疫情导致了所有死亡人数的 6.7%,但仅占所有 YLL 的 4.2%。我们估计葡萄牙经历了 35510 人 YLL 的超额死亡(增加了 6.2%),其中 72%是由新冠疫情导致的,28%是由非新冠疫情导致的。西班牙、葡萄牙和荷兰经历了非新冠疫情导致的 YLL 超额死亡。我们还估计,葡萄牙因癌症(3805 例)、心血管疾病(786 例)和呼吸系统疾病(525 例)导致的 YLL 超额死亡超过 10115 例。

结论

新冠疫情对葡萄牙乃至其他欧洲国家的死亡率产生了重大影响。新冠疫情对死亡人数的影响大于对 YLL 的影响,因为新冠疫情导致的死亡主要发生在高年龄段。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d4a1/8173727/2938642417ba/12889_2021_11128_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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