Center for Vaccine Development & Global Health, 685 W. Baltimore St., University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21201, USA.
Center for Vaccine Innovation and Access, PATH, 2201 Westlake Avenue, Suite 200, Seattle, WA 98121, USA.
Vaccine. 2023 Nov 22;41(48):7047-7059. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.09.040. Epub 2023 Sep 28.
Policymakers often rely on impact and cost-effectiveness evaluations to inform decisions about the introduction of health interventions in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs); however, cost-effectiveness results for the same health intervention can differ by the choice of parameter inputs, modelling assumptions, and geography. Anticipating the near-term availability of new respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) prevention products, WHO convened a two-day virtual consultation in April 2022 with stakeholder groups and global experts in health economics, epidemiology, and vaccine implementation. The objective was to review methods, parameterization, and results of existing cost-effectiveness analyses for RSV prevention in LMICs; identify the most influential inputs and data limitations; and recommend and prioritize future data gathering and research to improve RSV prevention impact estimates in LMICs. Epidemiological parameters identified as both influential and uncertain were those associated with RSV hospitalization and death, specifically setting-specific hospitalization rates and RSV-attributable death rates. Influential economic parameters included product price, delivery costs, willingness-to-pay for health on the part of potential donors, and the cost of RSV-associated hospitalization. Some of the influential parameters identified at this meeting should be more precisely measured by further research. Other influential economic parameters that are highly uncertain may not be resolved, and it is appropriate to use sensitivity analyses to explore these within cost-effectiveness evaluations. This report highlights the presentations and major discussions of the meeting.
决策者通常依赖影响和成本效益评估来为在低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)引入卫生干预措施做出决策;然而,对于同一卫生干预措施的成本效益结果可能因参数输入、建模假设和地理位置的选择而有所不同。为了预测新呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)预防产品的近期供应情况,世卫组织于 2022 年 4 月召集了为期两天的虚拟磋商,与会者包括利益攸关方团体和卫生经济学、流行病学和疫苗实施方面的全球专家。会议的目的是审查 LMICs 中 RSV 预防的现有成本效益分析方法、参数化和结果;确定最具影响力的投入和数据限制;并建议和优先考虑未来的数据收集和研究,以提高 LMICs 中 RSV 预防的影响估计。被确定为既有影响力又不确定的流行病学参数是与 RSV 住院和死亡相关的参数,特别是特定地点的住院率和 RSV 归因死亡率。有影响力的经济参数包括产品价格、交付成本、潜在捐赠者对健康的支付意愿以及与 RSV 相关的住院费用。在这次会议上确定的一些有影响力的参数应该通过进一步的研究更精确地测量。其他有影响力的经济参数高度不确定,可能无法解决,在成本效益评估中使用敏感性分析来探讨这些参数是合适的。本报告重点介绍了会议的介绍和主要讨论。