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用互动网站来传达新冠病毒暴露风险可纠正风险误判。

Communicating COVID-19 exposure risk with an interactive website counteracts risk misestimation.

机构信息

Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States of America.

School of City and Regional Planning, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2023 Oct 5;18(10):e0290708. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0290708. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

During the COVID-19 pandemic, individuals depended on risk information to make decisions about everyday behaviors and public policy. Here, we assessed whether an interactive website influenced individuals' risk tolerance to support public health goals. We collected data from 11,169 unique users who engaged with the online COVID-19 Event Risk Tool (https://covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu/) between 9/22/21 and 1/22/22. The website featured interactive elements, including a dynamic risk map, survey questions, and a risk quiz with accuracy feedback. After learning about the risk of COVID-19 exposure, participants reported being less willing to participate in events that could spread COVID-19, especially for high-risk large events. We also uncovered a bias in risk estimation: Participants tended to overestimate the risk of small events but underestimate the risk of large events. Importantly, even participants who voluntarily sought information about COVID risks tended to misestimate exposure risk, demonstrating the need for intervention. Participants from liberal-leaning counties were more likely to use the website tools and more responsive to feedback about risk misestimation, indicating that political partisanship influences how individuals seek and engage with COVID-19 information. Lastly, we explored temporal dynamics and found that user engagement and risk estimation fluctuated over the course of the Omicron variant outbreak. Overall, we report an effective large-scale method for communicating viral exposure risk; our findings are relevant to broader research on risk communication, epidemiological modeling, and risky decision-making.

摘要

在 COVID-19 大流行期间,个人依赖风险信息来做出日常行为和公共政策决策。在这里,我们评估了一个互动网站是否会影响个人的风险承受能力,以支持公共卫生目标。我们从 2021 年 9 月 22 日至 2022 年 1 月 22 日期间使用在线 COVID-19 事件风险工具(https://covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu/)与 11169 位独特用户进行了互动。该网站具有互动元素,包括动态风险地图、调查问题和带有准确性反馈的风险测验。在了解 COVID-19 暴露风险后,参与者表示不太愿意参加可能传播 COVID-19 的活动,尤其是高风险的大型活动。我们还发现了风险估计中的偏见:参与者往往高估小事件的风险,但低估大事件的风险。重要的是,即使是自愿寻求 COVID 风险信息的参与者也往往会错误估计暴露风险,这表明需要进行干预。来自自由派倾向的县的参与者更有可能使用网站工具,并且对风险估计错误的反馈更敏感,这表明政治党派偏见会影响个人如何寻求和参与 COVID-19 信息。最后,我们探讨了时间动态,发现用户参与度和风险估计在奥密克戎变体爆发期间波动。总的来说,我们报告了一种有效的大规模传播病毒暴露风险的方法;我们的研究结果与风险传播、流行病学模型和风险决策的更广泛研究相关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/dfe8/10553796/416ed5f7a844/pone.0290708.g001.jpg

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