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基于人群的澳大利亚维多利亚州社区居住老年人中凶杀案的横断面研究:研究方案。

A population-based cross-sectional study examining homicides among community-dwelling older adults in Victoria, Australia: A study protocol.

机构信息

Department of Forensic Medicine, Monash University, Southbank, Victoria, Australia.

School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2023 Oct 13;18(10):e0292837. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0292837. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

There is a need for both descriptive and analytical evidence on the factors associated with older adult homicide. The current landscape is insufficient because most published research is confined to the United States, and contains insufficient data about the homicide context. This study protocol describes the proposed method for examining the characteristics and factors associated with older adult homicide in the Australian state of Victoria, using data generated for the criminal and coronial investigation into these deaths stored in the Victorian Homicide Register (VHR). Outcomes will support practitioners, policy makers and other key stakeholders to strengthen prevention strategies to reduce the risk of future homicides among older Victorians.

METHODS

This study will comprise a single-jurisdiction population-based cross-sectional design to analyse consecutive cases of homicide among community-dwelling older adults in Victoria, Australia for the period 2001 to 2015. All homicides of adults aged 18 years and older, and where the Coroner's investigation is completed at data extraction will be included. Variables will be selected in accordance with elements of the social-ecological model (i.e., individual, interpersonal, incident, and community). This will include: socio-demographic characteristics; presence of mental or physical illness; deceased-offender relationship; nature of any abuse between the deceased and offender; incident location and weapon used; the presence of alcohol or drugs; and criminal justice outcomes. Homicide rates per 100,000 population will be calculated for older adults (aged 65 years and older) and younger adults (aged 18-64 years), and compared as rate ratios using Poisson regression. Descriptive statistics and cross-tabulation will be generated for factors associated with homicide for older compared to younger adults. Homicide typologies based on deceased-offender relationship and motive will be explored within group and family homicides will be compared between older and younger adults.

摘要

背景

需要有描述性和分析性证据来了解与老年杀人案相关的因素。目前的情况还不够充分,因为大多数已发表的研究都局限于美国,并且关于杀人案背景的资料不足。本研究方案描述了使用存储在维多利亚杀人案登记处(VHR)中的为对这些死亡案件进行刑事和验尸调查而生成的数据,来检查与澳大利亚维多利亚州老年杀人案相关的特征和因素的拟议方法。研究结果将支持从业人员、政策制定者和其他主要利益攸关方加强预防策略,以降低未来维多利亚老年人群体发生杀人案的风险。

方法

本研究将采用单一司法管辖区基于人群的横断面设计,分析 2001 年至 2015 年期间澳大利亚维多利亚州社区居住的老年人群中连续发生的杀人案。所有 18 岁及以上成年人的杀人案,以及在数据提取时验尸官调查已完成的案件,都将被纳入研究。变量将根据社会生态模式的要素(即个人、人际关系、事件和社区)进行选择。这将包括:社会人口特征;是否存在精神或身体疾病;死者与犯罪者的关系;死者和犯罪者之间任何虐待的性质;事件地点和使用的武器;是否存在酒精或毒品;以及刑事司法结果。将计算每 10 万人口中老年人(65 岁及以上)和年轻人(18-64 岁)的杀人案发生率,并使用泊松回归比较率比。将为老年人和年轻人生成与杀人案相关的因素的描述性统计和交叉表。将在群体内探索基于死者与犯罪者关系和动机的杀人案类型,并比较老年人和年轻人之间的群体和家庭杀人案。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2983/10575534/790fd8fa39ef/pone.0292837.g001.jpg

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