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胃癌预防的政府驱动因素:中国甘肃省风险区域和宏观因素的识别

Government drivers of gastric cancer prevention: The identification of risk areas and macro factors in Gansu, China.

作者信息

Huang Binjie, Ding Feifei, Liu Jie, Li Yumin

机构信息

Department of General Surgery, Second Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.

Key Laboratory of the Digestive System Tumors of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China.

出版信息

Prev Med Rep. 2023 Sep 30;36:102450. doi: 10.1016/j.pmedr.2023.102450. eCollection 2023 Dec.

Abstract

The threat of gastric cancer remains significant worldwide, especially in Gansu, located in northwestern China. However, the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and the impacts of macro factors such as social-economic, climatic conditions, and healthcare resources allocation were less reported before. Based on the data from the medical big data platform of the Gansu Province Health Commission, Gansu Province Bureau of Statistics and some public databases, we conducted joinpoint regression analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis, trend surface analysis, space scanning analysis, geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) analysis with Joinpoint_5.0, ArcGIS_10.8, GeoDa, and SaTScan_10.1.1. Finally, we have found that the increasing trend of gastric cancer incidence in Gansu has reached a turning point and is now declining. Moreover, significant spatial heterogeneity exists in the distribution of gastric cancer across Gansu Province. The identified risk areas and the impacts of macro factors on gastric cancer and their temporal trends could provide evidence for governments to develop specific policies for gastric cancer prevention.

摘要

胃癌的威胁在全球范围内仍然很大,尤其是在中国西北部的甘肃省。然而,此前关于胃癌时空分布特征以及社会经济、气候条件和医疗资源分配等宏观因素的影响的报道较少。基于甘肃省卫生健康委员会医疗大数据平台、甘肃省统计局和一些公共数据库的数据,我们使用Joinpoint_5.0、ArcGIS_10.8、GeoDa和SaTScan_10.1.1进行了连接点回归分析、空间自相关分析、趋势面分析、空间扫描分析、地理加权回归(GTWR)分析。最后,我们发现甘肃省胃癌发病率的上升趋势已达到转折点,目前正在下降。此外,甘肃省胃癌分布存在显著的空间异质性。确定的风险区域以及宏观因素对胃癌的影响及其时间趋势可为政府制定胃癌预防的具体政策提供依据。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eead/10571019/249c2862f285/gr1.jpg

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