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基于2018 - 2021年每月投入产出表编制的高频部门碳与环境分析

High-frequency sectoral carbon and environmental analysis based on monthly input-output tables compilation during 2018-2021.

作者信息

Xu Duo, Liu Gengyuan, Li Hui, Meng Fanxin, Chen Yu, Agostinho Feni, Almeida Cecilia M V B, Giannetti Biagio F

机构信息

State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.

Beijing Engineering Research Center for Watershed Environmental Restoration & Integrated Ecological Regulation, Beijing 100875, China.

出版信息

iScience. 2023 Sep 30;26(11):108045. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2023.108045. eCollection 2023 Nov 17.

Abstract

This paper proposes a process for updating monthly input-output tables with monthly macroeconomic statistics and published input-output tables. Reasonable assumptions are set up and 48 monthly input-output tables are prepared from 2018 to 2021 with the combination of the row range series method and nonlinear mathematical planning. The Weaver-Thomas composite index is used to analyze the role of the sector in the economic network, and the sectoral correlation indicators are used to analyze the correlation change of the sector's monthly electricity emissions to show an environmental application effect of the monthly input-output table. The results show that the monthly input-output tables can be prepared with acceptable accuracy, and they can reveal the sectoral network structure changes and sectoral carbon emissions changes in continuous monthly time series. The proposed approach contributes for the compilation of high-time-frequency input-output tables, so as to support high-frequency industrial environmental impact analysis.

摘要

本文提出了一种利用月度宏观经济统计数据和已发布的投入产出表来更新月度投入产出表的方法。设定了合理的假设,并结合行范围序列法和非线性数学规划,编制了2018年至2021年的48张月度投入产出表。采用韦弗-托马斯综合指数分析部门在经济网络中的作用,利用部门关联指标分析部门月度电力排放的关联变化,以展示月度投入产出表的环境应用效果。结果表明,月度投入产出表能够以可接受的精度编制,并且能够揭示连续月度时间序列中的部门网络结构变化和部门碳排放变化。所提出的方法有助于编制高时间频率的投入产出表,从而支持高频产业环境影响分析。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/26db/10589853/de3042aaa272/fx1.jpg

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