From the Program for the Advancement of Surgical Equity, Department of Surgery (S.A.C., R.O., M.Y., R.D., C.J.), University of California, Los Angeles, California; Faculty of Health Sciences (M.M., F.Y., F.E., G.M., A.C.-M.), University of Buea, Buea; and Department of Public Health (F.D.-D), Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Bamenda, Bamenda, Cameroon.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg. 2023 Nov 1;95(5):699-705. doi: 10.1097/TA.0000000000003991. Epub 2023 Jun 29.
Routine in-person follow-up for injured patients after hospital discharge is unfeasible in low- and middle-income countries where trauma morbidity and mortality are the highest. Mobile technology screening may facilitate early detection of complications and timely treatment. In this prospective, multisite implementation study, we cross-validate the performance of a cellphone screening tool developed to risk stratify trauma patients in need of further care after discharge in Cameroon.
Between June 2019 and August 2022, research assistants contacted trauma patients by cellphone 2 weeks after discharge to administer a 14-question follow-up survey. All surveyed patients were asked to return for a physical examination. Physicians blinded to survey results categorized patients as low or moderate or high risk (HR) for poor outcomes without further care. Logistic regression tested associations between each survey question and physician examination. Predictive survey questions generated a preliminary model with high sensitivity for identifying patients in need of further care.
Of 1,712 successfully contacted patient households, 96% (1643) participated in telephone triage compared with 33% (560) who returned for physician examination. Physicians designated 39% (220) as being HR. On multiple logistic regression, 8 of 13 candidate triage questions were independently associated with HR. Positive survey response on the resultant eight question screen yielded 89.2% sensitivity for HR with a 10.8% false negative rate. Weighted for variable importance based on triage risk scores, 39% of triaged patients screened as low risk, 39% as moderate risk, and 22% as high risk for HR. Likelihood of HR was significantly greater for patients screening as high (odds ratio, 5.9) or moderate risk (odds ratio, 1.9; both p < 0.01).
Cellphone triage provides sensitive risk stratification of patients in need of further care after hospital discharge in Cameroon. Given low in-person return rates, limited resources should highly prioritize efforts to repatriate patients screening as high risk for poor outcomes.
Therapeutic/Care Management; Level III.
在创伤发病率和死亡率最高的中低收入国家,对出院后受伤患者进行常规的当面随访是不可行的。移动技术筛查可能有助于早期发现并发症并及时治疗。在这项前瞻性、多地点实施研究中,我们对在喀麦隆开发的用于对出院后需要进一步护理的创伤患者进行风险分层的手机筛查工具进行了交叉验证。
在 2019 年 6 月至 2022 年 8 月期间,研究助理通过手机在出院后 2 周联系创伤患者进行 14 个问题的随访调查。所有接受调查的患者都被要求返回进行体格检查。不了解调查结果的医生将患者分为低危、中危或高危(HR),认为这些患者如果不进一步治疗,预后较差。逻辑回归测试了每个调查问题与医生检查之间的关联。预测性调查问题生成了一个具有高敏感性的初步模型,可用于识别需要进一步护理的患者。
在成功联系的 1712 户患者家庭中,96%(1643 户)接受了电话分诊,而只有 33%(560 户)返回接受医生检查。医生指定 39%(220 户)为 HR。在多项逻辑回归中,13 个候选分诊问题中有 8 个问题与 HR 独立相关。在最终的八问题筛查中,阳性筛查结果对 HR 的敏感性为 89.2%,假阴性率为 10.8%。根据分诊风险评分进行加权,39%的分诊患者被认为低危,39%的患者被认为中危,22%的患者被认为 HR 高危。筛查为高危(优势比,5.9)或中危(优势比,1.9;均 p < 0.01)的患者发生 HR 的可能性显著更高。
在喀麦隆,手机分诊可以对出院后需要进一步护理的患者进行敏感的风险分层。鉴于亲自返回的比例较低,资源有限,应高度优先考虑努力遣返筛查结果为预后不良高风险的患者。
治疗/护理管理;三级。