Department of Political Science, Columbia University, New York, NY 10025.
College of Business, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY 1179.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 Nov 21;120(47):e2309361120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2309361120. Epub 2023 Nov 13.
American political parties continue to grow more polarized, but the extent of ideological polarization among the public is much less than the extent of perceived polarization (what the ideological gap is believed to be). Perceived polarization is concerning because of its link to interparty hostility, but it remains unclear what drives this phenomenon. We propose that a tendency for individuals to form broad generalizations about groups on the basis of inconsistent evidence may be partly responsible. We study this tendency by measuring the interpretation, endorsement, and recall of category-referring statements, also known as generics (e.g., "Democrats favor affirmative action"). In study 1 ( = 417), perceived polarization was substantially greater than actual polarization. Further, participants endorsed generics as long as they were true more often of the target party (e.g., Democrats favor affirmative action) than of the opposing party (e.g., Republicans favor affirmative action), even when they believed such statements to be true for well below 50% of the relevant party. Study 2 ( = 928) found that upon receiving information from political elites, people tended to recall these statements as generic, regardless of whether the original statement was generic or not. Study 3 ( = 422) found that generic statements regarding new political information led to polarized judgments and did so more than nongeneric statements. Altogether, the data indicate a tendency toward holding mental representations of political claims that exaggerate party differences. These findings suggest that the use of generic language, common in everyday speech, enables inferential errors that exacerbate perceived polarization.
美国政党继续呈现两极化趋势,但公众的意识形态分歧程度远低于感知到的分歧程度(即人们认为的意识形态差距有多大)。感知到的两极化令人担忧,因为它与两党之间的敌意有关,但目前尚不清楚是什么导致了这种现象。我们提出,个体基于不一致的证据对群体形成广泛概括的倾向可能在一定程度上对此负有责任。我们通过衡量对类别参照语句(也称为通用语句,例如“民主党人支持平权行动”)的解释、认可和回忆来研究这种倾向。在研究 1(n=417)中,感知到的两极化程度大大高于实际的两极化程度。此外,只要通用语句在目标党派(例如,民主党人支持平权行动)中比在对立党派(例如,共和党人支持平权行动)中更为真实的情况更为常见,参与者就会认可通用语句,即使他们认为这些语句的真实性低于 50%。研究 2(n=928)发现,一旦从政治精英那里获得信息,人们往往会将这些语句视为通用语句,而不管原始语句是否为通用语句。研究 3(n=422)发现,关于新政治信息的通用语句会导致两极化判断,其影响程度超过非通用语句。总之,这些数据表明人们有一种倾向,即持有夸大党派差异的政治主张的心理表征。这些发现表明,通用语言的使用(在日常言语中很常见)会导致推断错误,从而加剧感知到的两极化。