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Mpox 严重程度评分系统的制定与初步应用。

Development and Pilot of an Mpox Severity Scoring System.

机构信息

Division of Infectious Diseases, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University, NewYork, New York.

Division of Infectious Diseases, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY.

出版信息

J Infect Dis. 2024 Mar 26;229(Supplement_2):S229-S233. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiad492.

Abstract

Clinical severity scores facilitate comparisons to understand risk factors for severe illness. For the 2022 multinational monkeypox clade IIb virus outbreak, we developed a 7-item Mpox Severity Scoring System (MPOX-SSS) with initial variables refined by data availability and parameter correlation. Application of MPOX-SSS to the first 200 patients diagnosed with mpox revealed higher scores in those treated with tecovirimat, presenting >3 days after symptom onset, and with CD4 counts <200 cells/mm3. For individuals evaluated repeatedly, serial scores were concordant with clinical observations. The pilot MPOX-SSS demonstrated good discrimination, distinguished change over time, and identified higher scores in expected groups.

摘要

临床严重程度评分有助于比较,以了解导致严重疾病的风险因素。针对 2022 年多国猴痘 IIb 病毒爆发,我们开发了一个 7 项的猴痘严重程度评分系统(MPOX-SSS),初始变量经过数据可用性和参数相关性的优化。在对 200 名确诊感染猴痘的患者进行应用后发现,接受特考韦瑞治疗、症状出现后超过 3 天、CD4 计数<200 个细胞/mm3 的患者的评分更高。对于反复评估的个体,连续评分与临床观察结果一致。该初步的 MPOX-SSS 显示出良好的判别能力、能区分随时间的变化,并识别出预期的高评分组。

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