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Clinical Predictors and Determinants of Mpox Complications in Hospitalized Patients: A Prospective Cohort Study from Burundi.

作者信息

Nkengurutse Liliane, Otshudiema John O, Kamwenubusa Godefroid, Diallo Issa, Nsavyimana Odette, Mbonicura Jean Claude, Nkurunziza Jean Claude, Cishahayo Fidèle, Niyongere Dieudonné, Havyarimana Bonite, Simbarariye Déo, Nimburanira Marc, Ntiranyibagira Bosco, Nzeyimana Senya Diane, Ndelema Brigitte, Nkezimana Denise, Shingiro Parfait, Sibomana Aimable, Nduwimana Stany, Nyabenda Freddy, Niyomwungere Alexis, Zongo Mamadou, Bousso Abdoulaye, Boland Samuel, Ndayisenga Jeanine, Nizigiyimana Dionis, Nyandwi Joseph, Zumla Alimuddin, Lewis Rosamund F, Harakandi Stanislas

机构信息

Centre des Opérations d'Urgence de Santé Publique (COUSP/PHEOC Burundi), Rohero I, Bujumbura Mairie, Bujumbura J978+9V4, Burundi.

World Health Organization, WHO Burundi, 4 Avenue Muramwya, Rohero I, Bujumbura Mairie, Bujumbura J978+9V4, Burundi.

出版信息

Viruses. 2025 Mar 27;17(4):480. doi: 10.3390/v17040480.


DOI:10.3390/v17040480
PMID:40284923
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12030875/
Abstract

(1) Objectives: Studies on mpox patterns, severity predictors, and public health impacts in Burundi remain limited. Therefore, we aimed to identify the clinical predictors and determinants of mpox complications among hospitalized patients in Bujumbura, Burundi, during an active outbreak. (2) Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study of laboratory-confirmed mpox cases across three treatment centers (July-October 2024). Clinical characteristics and outcomes were assessed through a systematic review of medical and laboratory records supplemented by structured interviews with patients or caregivers. Risk factors for disease complications were evaluated using multivariate Firth penalized logistic regression. (3) Results: Complications developed in 3.1% of 850 patients (54.4% male; median age, 20.3 years). Conjunctivitis (odds ratio [OR]: 27.30; 95% confidence interval [CI], 7.67-122.23) and sore throat (OR: 12.63; 95% CI, 5.78-30.21) were significant predictors of severe disease progression. Conversely, generalized rash (OR, 0.10; 95% CI, 0.04-0.24) and lymphadenopathy (OR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.08-0.62) were associated with a mild disease course. Sexual transmission was the predominant route of infection (58.6%). (4) Conclusions: Noncutaneous manifestations, particularly conjunctivitis and sore throat, are early indicators of mpox severity. These findings inform clinical risk stratification in resource-limited settings and highlight the need for further investigation of pathophysiological mechanisms.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cddf/12030875/948787e1f05c/viruses-17-00480-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cddf/12030875/8e61120fac0e/viruses-17-00480-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cddf/12030875/19b3120aab11/viruses-17-00480-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cddf/12030875/948787e1f05c/viruses-17-00480-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cddf/12030875/8e61120fac0e/viruses-17-00480-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cddf/12030875/19b3120aab11/viruses-17-00480-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cddf/12030875/948787e1f05c/viruses-17-00480-g003.jpg

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[1]
Clinical Predictors and Determinants of Mpox Complications in Hospitalized Patients: A Prospective Cohort Study from Burundi.

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引用本文的文献

[1]
Vaccination strategies to achieve outbreak control for MPXV Clade I with a one-time mass campaign in sub-Saharan Africa: A scenario-based modelling study.

PLoS Med. 2025-9-5

本文引用的文献

[1]
Comparative Analysis of 2022 Outbreak MPXV and Previous Clade II MPXV.

J Med Virol. 2024-11

[2]
Clade I mpox virus genomic diversity in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2018-2024: Predominance of zoonotic transmission.

Cell. 2025-1-9

[3]
The resurgence of monkeypox: Epidemiology, clinical features, and public health implications in the post-smallpox eradication era.

New Microbes New Infect. 2024-9-24

[4]
Epidemiological analysis of confirmed mpox cases, Burundi, 3 July to 9 September 2024.

Euro Surveill. 2024-10

[5]
Mpox Clinical Presentation, Diagnostic Approaches, and Treatment Strategies: A Review.

JAMA. 2024-11-19

[6]
Tecovirimat Use under Expanded Access to Treat Mpox in the United States, 2022-2023.

NEJM Evid. 2024-10

[7]
Real-time PCR assay to detect the novel Clade Ib monkeypox virus, September 2023 to May 2024.

Euro Surveill. 2024-8

[8]
Sustained human outbreak of a new MPXV clade I lineage in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Nat Med. 2024-10

[9]
Persistent and Severe Mpox Keratitis Despite Systemic and Topical Treatment.

Cornea. 2024-6-1

[10]
Clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with mpox during the 2022 mpox outbreak compared with those before the outbreak: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Rev Med Virol. 2024-1

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