Department of Infectious Tropical Diseases and Microbiology, IRCCS Sacro Cuore don Calabria Hospital, 370242, Negrar, Verona, Italy.
Department of Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization, 12024, Geneva, Switzerland.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2024 Jan 15;379(1894):20220433. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2022.0433. Epub 2023 Nov 27.
The World Health Organization has started a process to issue guidelines for the control of strongyloidiasis. The guidelines might recommend to implement preventive chemotherapy (PC) at community level (i.e. to all individuals above 5 years of age), over a defined prevalence threshold. We previously estimated the number of school-age children (SAC) who would need PC. Here we estimate the number of people above 15 years of age who might be included in PC for strongyloidiasis. Based on previous prevalence estimates and on countries' age distribution, we retrieved the number of adults in need of PC. We then subtracted the number of people already involved in ivermectin mass distribution for the elimination of onchocerciasis and lymphatic filariasis and people living in countries where is endemic. The number of adults to be involved in PC was estimated at 905.4 (95% confidence interval (CI): 520.6-1177.2), 660.2 (95% CI: 512.7-1214.9), and 512.1 (95% CI: 276-719.4) million people, when the strongyloidiasis prevalence threshold for implementing PC was set to 10%, 15% and 20%, respectively. Estimates at country level are also provided.These estimates might help endemic countries wishing to implement PC for strongyloidiasis to allocate resources to include adults in addition to SAC in control programmes. This article is part of the Theo Murphy meeting issue ': omics to worm-free populations'.
世界卫生组织已启动制定蠕形住肠线虫病控制指南的流程。这些指南可能建议在社区层面(即所有年龄在 5 岁以上的个体)实施预防性化疗(PC),在规定的流行阈值以上。我们之前曾估计过需要 PC 的学龄儿童(SAC)人数。在这里,我们估计可能包括在 PC 中的 15 岁以上人口数量。根据先前的流行率估计以及各国的年龄分布情况,我们检索到需要 PC 的成年人数量。然后,我们减去了已经参与伊维菌素大规模分发以消除盘尾丝虫病和淋巴丝虫病的人群数量,以及生活在 流行的国家的人群数量。需要参与 PC 的成年人人数估计为 905.4(95%置信区间(CI):520.6-1177.2)、660.2(95% CI:512.7-1214.9)和 512.1(95% CI:276-719.4)百万,当实施 PC 的蠕形住肠线虫病流行率阈值分别设定为 10%、15%和 20%时。还提供了国家一级的估计值。这些估计可能有助于希望针对蠕形住肠线虫病实施 PC 的流行国家除了 SAC 之外,还可以将成年人纳入控制计划中。本文是 Theo Murphy 会议议题“从组学到无蠕虫人群”的一部分。