Yi Lan, Yang Zhi-Peng, Zhang Zhi-Kai, Yang Li, Deng Wei
Jinhe Center for Economic Research, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710049, China.
Department of Nuclear Science and Technology, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710049, China.
Heliyon. 2023 Nov 22;9(12):e22684. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e22684. eCollection 2023 Dec.
The carbon market is regarded as one of the important means to achieve China's dual carbon target. It has ancillary effect for reducing air pollution while regulating carbon emissions since climate change and air pollution share the same origin and homology. Research on how to design the carbon market mechanism in order to maximize the synergistic effect of reducing greenhouse gas and air pollution will have a very important practical impact for China. This study conducts a theoretical analysis of the collaborative emission reduction path of China's carbon market, and constructs an Energy-Economy-Environment (3E) model of the collaborative emission reduction effect of carbon trading system based on System Dynamics. After analyzing the feedback path of the core cycle of the model and verifying its performance, three main policy factors in the carbon market are explored, and their effects under the dual objectives of emission control and economic development are comprehensively evaluated. This study suggests that the exploration of the potential of carbon market for collaborative governance should be accelerated, and ensure the orderly expansion of coverage and precise setting of limits, so as to ensure the smooth achievement of carbon reduction targets while guaranteeing the social and economic development.
碳市场被视为实现中国双碳目标的重要手段之一。由于气候变化和空气污染具有同源性，碳市场在调节碳排放的同时，对减少空气污染具有附带效应。研究如何设计碳市场机制以最大化减少温室气体和空气污染的协同效应，对中国具有非常重要的实际意义。本研究对中国碳市场协同减排路径进行了理论分析，并基于系统动力学构建了碳交易系统协同减排效应的能源-经济-环境（3E）模型。在分析模型核心循环的反馈路径并验证其性能后，探讨了碳市场中的三个主要政策因素，并全面评估了它们在排放控制和经济发展双重目标下的效果。本研究建议加快探索碳市场协同治理潜力，确保覆盖范围有序扩大和配额精准设定，以在保障社会经济发展的同时确保碳减排目标顺利实现。
