Department of Translational Medicine, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy.
Department of Cardiology, West Vicenza Hospital, Arzignagno, Italy.
Intern Emerg Med. 2024 Mar;19(2):423-428. doi: 10.1007/s11739-023-03492-5. Epub 2023 Dec 19.
We sought to analyse the incidence of sudden cardiac deaths (SCDs) amongst subjects aged less than 39 years in Italy and its time trend between 2013 and 2019. Data regarding cause-specific mortality and population size by sex in 5-year age groups were extracted from the World Health Organization (WHO) mortality database. Decedents reporting the codes I46.1, I45.6, I47.2, I41.9, R09.2 and R96.0 of the International Classification of Disease-10 (ICD-10) coding system, were extracted. The age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs), with relative 95% confidence intervals (CIs) stratified by sex, were determined using the direct method. Joinpoint regression analyses were used to identify periods with statistically distinct log linear trends in SCD-related death rates. To calculate nationwide annual trends in SCD-related mortality, we assessed the annual and average annual per cent change (AAPC) and relative 95% CIs. Over the study period, 314 deaths [220 males (70.0%) and 94 females] were due to SCD corresponding to a 0.06 per 100,000 per year (0.10 per 100,000 in males and 0.04 per 100,000 in females, respectively). Proportional mortality slightly increased, without reaching the statistical significance (p = 0.82) from 3.06 to 3.56 per 100 deaths, with a similar trend in both sexes. Joinpoint regression analysis revealed a plateau in age-standardised SCD-related mortality over the period [AAPC: -4.2 (95% CI: -24.0 to 20.8, p = 0.71], which was consistent between males and females. In Italy, SCD remains a public health issue of concern in the last decade after adjusting for age.
我们旨在分析意大利年龄小于 39 岁人群中心脏性猝死 (SCD) 的发生率及其在 2013 年至 2019 年间的时间趋势。通过世界卫生组织 (WHO) 死亡率数据库,提取了特定死因死亡率和按性别分组的每 5 岁年龄组人口规模的数据。提取报告国际疾病分类-10 (ICD-10) 编码系统代码 I46.1、I45.6、I47.2、I41.9、R09.2 和 R96.0 的死者数据。使用直接法确定按性别分层的年龄调整死亡率 (AAMR),并计算相对 95%置信区间 (CI)。采用 Joinpoint 回归分析确定 SCD 相关死亡率呈统计学显著对数线性趋势的时间段。为了计算全国范围内与 SCD 相关的死亡率的年度趋势,我们评估了年度和平均年变化百分比 (AAPC) 和相对 95%CI。在研究期间,314 人因 SCD 死亡[220 名男性 (70.0%)和 94 名女性],相应的每年每 100,000 人 0.06 人(男性每 100,000 人 0.10 人,女性每 100,000 人 0.04 人)。尽管比例死亡率略有增加,但未达到统计学意义 (p = 0.82),从每 100 例死亡的 3.06 人增加到 3.56 人,两性趋势相似。Joinpoint 回归分析显示,调整年龄后,该期间标准化 SCD 相关死亡率呈平台趋势[AAPC:-4.2 (95%CI:-24.0 至 20.8,p = 0.71],男性和女性之间一致。在意大利,调整年龄后,SCD 在过去十年仍然是一个令人关注的公共卫生问题。