Wang Yongyue, Li Qiwei, Luo Zhenyu, Zhao Junchao, Lv Zhaofeng, Deng Qiuju, Liu Jing, Ezzati Majid, Baumgartner Jill, Liu Huan, He Kebin
State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex, State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Centre for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing An Zhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing 100029, China.
Commun Earth Environ. 2023 Dec 1;4:451. doi: 10.1038/s43247-023-01119-3.
With the decreasing regional-transported levels, the health risk assessment derived from fine particulate matter (PM) has become insufficient to reflect the contribution of local source heterogeneity to the exposure differences. Here, we combined the both ultra-high-resolution PM concentration with population distribution to provide the personal daily PM internal dose considering the indoor/outdoor exposure difference. A 30-m PM assimilating method was developed fusing multiple auxiliary predictors, achieving higher accuracy (R = 0.78-0.82) than the chemical transport model outputs without any post-simulation data-oriented enhancement (R = 0.31-0.64). Weekly difference was identified from hourly mobile signaling data in 30-m resolution population distribution. The population-weighted ambient PM concentrations range among districts but fail to reflect exposure differences. Derived from the indoor/outdoor ratio, the average indoor PM concentration was 26.5 μg/m. The internal dose based on the assimilated indoor/outdoor PM concentration shows high exposure diversity among sub-groups, and the attributed mortality increased by 24.0% than the coarser unassimilated model.
随着区域传输水平的降低,基于细颗粒物(PM)的健康风险评估已不足以反映本地源异质性对暴露差异的影响。在此,我们将超高分辨率的PM浓度与人口分布相结合,以考虑室内/室外暴露差异来提供个人每日PM内剂量。开发了一种融合多个辅助预测因子的30米PM同化方法,其精度(R = 0.78 - 0.82)高于未经过任何基于模拟后数据增强的化学传输模型输出(R = 0.31 - 0.64)。从30米分辨率人口分布的每小时移动信号数据中识别出每周差异。各区域间人口加权环境PM浓度存在差异,但未能反映暴露差异。根据室内/室外比例,室内PM平均浓度为26.5μg/m³。基于同化后的室内/室外PM浓度得出的内剂量在亚组间显示出高暴露多样性,且归因死亡率比粗分辨率未同化模型增加了24.0%。