State Key Joint Laboratory of ESPC, State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
State Key Joint Laboratory of ESPC, State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2022 Mar 20;813:152655. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.152655. Epub 2021 Dec 24.
The growing of vehicle population aggravates air pollution and threatens human health. In this study, based on the refined whole-process vehicle emission inventory considering volatile organic compounds (VOCs) evaporation emission, the CAMx model was applied to comprehensively quantify the impacts of the vehicle sector on the annual and seasonal concentrations of PM and O in China. Also, the health risks caused by long-term exposure to PM and O were evaluated. The model results showed that vehicle emission was an important source of severe O pollution in summer, with a contribution of more than 30% in most parts of China, but not an important source of serious PM pollution in winter, with a contribution of less than 20% in heavily polluted regions in China. Compared to tailpipe emission, vehicle VOCs evaporation emission led to increases of 25% and 47% to sectoral contribution to PM and O. Health risk assessment results showed that attributable deaths caused by long-term exposure to PM and O were 975,029 and 46,043 in 2018, to which vehicle emission contributed approximately 12.5% and 22.2%, respectively.
机动车保有量的增加加剧了空气污染,威胁着人类健康。本研究基于考虑挥发性有机化合物(VOCs)蒸发排放的精细化全过程机动车排放清单,应用 CAMx 模型综合量化了机动车排放对中国 PM 和 O 年际和季节浓度的影响。此外,还评估了长期暴露于 PM 和 O 所带来的健康风险。模型结果表明,机动车排放是夏季严重 O 污染的重要来源,在中国大部分地区的贡献超过 30%,但不是冬季严重 PM 污染的重要来源,在中国污染严重的地区贡献小于 20%。与尾气排放相比,机动车 VOCs 蒸发排放使 PM 和 O 对该部门的贡献分别增加了 25%和 47%。健康风险评估结果表明,2018 年长期暴露于 PM 和 O 造成的归因死亡人数分别为 975029 人和 46043 人,其中机动车排放分别约占 12.5%和 22.2%。