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环境臭氧增加与以城市化为导向的人口迁移对中国心肺死亡率的拮抗作用。

Antagonism between ambient ozone increase and urbanization-oriented population migration on Chinese cardiopulmonary mortality.

作者信息

Sun Haitong Zhe, Zhao Junchao, Liu Xiang, Qiu Minghao, Shen Huizhong, Guillas Serge, Giorio Chiara, Staniaszek Zosia, Yu Pei, Wan Michelle W L, Chim Man Mei, van Daalen Kim Robin, Li Yilin, Liu Zhenze, Xia Mingtao, Ke Shengxian, Zhao Haifan, Wang Haikun, He Kebin, Liu Huan, Guo Yuming, Archibald Alexander T

机构信息

Yusuf Hamied Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1EW, UK.

Department of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3EQ, UK.

出版信息

Innovation (Camb). 2023 Sep 20;4(6):100517. doi: 10.1016/j.xinn.2023.100517. eCollection 2023 Nov 13.

Abstract

Ever-increasing ambient ozone (O) pollution in China has been exacerbating cardiopulmonary premature deaths. However, the urban-rural exposure inequity has seldom been explored. Here, we assess population-scale O exposure and mortality burdens between 1990 and 2019 based on integrated pollution tracking and epidemiological evidence. We find Chinese population have been suffering from climbing O exposure by 4.3 ± 2.8 ppb per decade as a result of rapid urbanization and growing prosperity of socioeconomic activities. Rural residents are broadly exposed to 9.8 ± 4.1 ppb higher ambient O than the adjacent urban citizens, and thus urbanization-oriented migration compromises the exposure-associated mortality on total population. Cardiopulmonary excess premature deaths attributable to long-term O exposure, 373,500 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 240,600-510,900) in 2019, is underestimated in previous studies due to ignorance of cardiovascular causes. Future O pollution policy should focus more on rural population who are facing an aggravating threat of mortality risks to ameliorate environmental health injustice.

摘要

中国日益严重的环境臭氧(O)污染一直在加剧心肺疾病导致的过早死亡。然而,城乡暴露不平等问题很少被探讨。在此,我们基于综合污染追踪和流行病学证据,评估了1990年至2019年期间人口规模的臭氧暴露和死亡负担。我们发现,由于快速城市化和社会经济活动的日益繁荣,中国人口的臭氧暴露量每十年攀升4.3±2.8 ppb。农村居民的环境臭氧暴露水平比相邻城市居民普遍高出9.8±4.1 ppb,因此以城市化为导向的人口迁移降低了总人口中与暴露相关的死亡率。2019年,长期臭氧暴露导致的心肺疾病额外过早死亡人数为373,500人(95%不确定区间[UI]:240,600 - 510,900),由于之前的研究忽视了心血管病因,这一数字被低估。未来的臭氧污染政策应更多地关注面临日益加重的死亡风险威胁的农村人口,以改善环境健康不公平问题。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3340/10562756/ff740df40999/fx1.jpg

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