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使用广义结构方程模型对乌干达五岁以下儿童营养不良的风险因素进行建模。

Modeling the Risk Factors of Undernutrition among Children below Five Years of Age in Uganda Using Generalized Structural Equation Models.

作者信息

Maniragaba Vallence Ngabo, Atuhaire Leonard K, Rutayisire Pierre Claver

机构信息

African Center of Excellence in Data Science, College of Business and Economic, University of Rwanda, Kigali P.O. Box 3248, Rwanda.

School of Statistical Methods, College of Management Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala P.O. Box 7072, Uganda.

出版信息

Children (Basel). 2023 Dec 14;10(12):1926. doi: 10.3390/children10121926.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

The prevalence of undernutrition among children below five years of age, in Uganda and the world over, remains very high. About 45% of all global deaths among children below five years of age are attributed to undernutrition. A number of studies using different statistical approaches affirm this effect, yet some factors indicate the influence of other factors within the system. This study, therefore, uses a method that demonstrates how different variables feed into each other.

AIM

The aim of this study was to establish the major factors associated with an increased likelihood of undernutrition and the paths showing how these risk factors influence undernutrition.

METHODS

Data from the Uganda Demographic and Health Survey (UDHS, 2016) were used for this study. A sample of 4530 children, whose age, height, and weight measurements were recorded, was considered for this study. Additionally, the study used generalized structural equation models to identify the multifaceted natures and paths of the risk factors that influence undernutrition among children below five years of age. The study relied on the UNICEF 2020 conceptual framework to identify and analyze the direct and indirect effects of these risk factors of undernutrition.

RESULTS

From the perspective of a male child, having a perceived small size at birth, a low birth weight, being breastfed for less than 6 months, having no formal education from mothers, limited income-generating opportunities, a low wealth status, and notable episodes of diarrhea were among the key factors associated with an increased likelihood of undernutrition. The identified paths were as follows: (i) Having no education, as this was associated with limited working opportunities and a low income, which increases the likelihood of low household wealth status, hence increasing the chances of undernutrition. (ii) Exposure to a rural setting was associated with an increased likelihood of undernutrition through association with poor and or low employment levels within the rural areas. (iii) A shorter duration of breastfeeding was associated with children in urban areas, resulting in an increased likelihood of undernutrition. (iv) Children aged between 6 and 47 months had a higher likelihood of undernutrition.

CONCLUSIONS

An approach that addresses and recognizes all these factors at different levels, along the established paths, should be implemented to effectively reduce undernutrition among children below five years of age.

摘要

引言

在乌干达乃至全球,五岁以下儿童营养不良的患病率仍然很高。全球约45%的五岁以下儿童死亡归因于营养不良。许多使用不同统计方法的研究证实了这种影响,但一些因素表明系统内其他因素的影响。因此,本研究采用一种方法来展示不同变量如何相互作用。

目的

本研究的目的是确定与营养不良可能性增加相关的主要因素,以及显示这些风险因素如何影响营养不良的路径。

方法

本研究使用了乌干达人口与健康调查(UDHS,2016年)的数据。本研究考虑了一个样本,其中4530名儿童的年龄、身高和体重测量值被记录下来。此外,该研究使用广义结构方程模型来识别影响五岁以下儿童营养不良的风险因素的多方面性质和路径。该研究依靠联合国儿童基金会2020年概念框架来识别和分析这些营养不良风险因素的直接和间接影响。

结果

从男童的角度来看,出生时被认为体型小、低出生体重、母乳喂养少于6个月、母亲未接受过正规教育、创收机会有限、财富状况低以及明显的腹泻发作是与营养不良可能性增加相关的关键因素。确定的路径如下:(i)未接受教育,因为这与工作机会有限和低收入相关,这增加了家庭财富状况低的可能性从而增加了营养不良的几率。(ii)生活在农村地区与营养不良可能性增加相关,这是通过与农村地区贫困和/或低就业水平相关联。(iii)母乳喂养时间较短与城市地区的儿童相关,导致营养不良可能性增加。(iv)年龄在6至47个月之间的儿童营养不良的可能性更高。

结论

应实施一种在既定路径上不同层面解决和认识所有这些因素的方法,以有效减少五岁以下儿童的营养不良情况。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/64a9/10742231/a4ae66afd9ab/children-10-01926-g001.jpg

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