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基于四方进化博弈分析的新能源汽车产业发展战略选择研究。

Research on the development strategy selection of the new energy vehicle industry from the perspective of green credit-Based on the foursquare evolutionary game analysis.

机构信息

School of finance, Harbin University of Commerce, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.

Accounting Department, Harbin Finance University, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Jan 29;19(1):e0297813. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0297813. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Developing new energy vehicles is vital to promote green development and the harmonious coexistence of humans and nature. It is also the only way to help China move from a significant automobile country to a powerful automobile country. Based on the background of the "recession" of government subsidies and considering the importance of green credit in promoting green and low-carbon transformation, this paper constructs a four-party evolutionary game model that includes government, automotive companies, banks, and consumers to analyze the stability of the strategic choices of various parties in the development process of the new energy vehicle industry. It uses MATLAB simulation tools to analyze the impact of relevant factors on system stability. The research shows that: (1) The government's subsidy mechanism significantly promotes the development of the new energy vehicle industry. Still, there is a subsidy threshold, beyond which the effect will weaken and quickly bring financial pressure. (2) With the gradual decline of government subsidies, the bank's green credit policy has a specific policy complementary effect on the decline of government subsidies. (3) Considering that costs and benefits are the main influencing factors for automotive companies and consumers' strategic choices, the impact of factors such as the punishment of violations, adjustment of subsidy policies, and consumers' environmental awareness must also be paid attention to.

摘要

发展新能源汽车对于促进绿色发展和人与自然和谐共生至关重要,也是帮助中国从汽车大国迈向汽车强国的唯一途径。基于政府补贴“退坡”的背景,考虑绿色信贷在推动绿色低碳转型方面的重要性,本文构建了一个四主体演化博弈模型,包括政府、汽车企业、银行和消费者,以分析新能源汽车产业发展过程中各主体战略选择的稳定性。利用 MATLAB 仿真工具分析了相关因素对系统稳定性的影响。研究表明:(1)政府补贴机制对新能源汽车产业的发展有显著的促进作用,但存在补贴阈值,超过该阈值后,效果会减弱,并迅速带来财政压力。(2)随着政府补贴的逐步减少,银行的绿色信贷政策对政府补贴的减少具有特定的政策互补效应。(3)考虑到成本和收益是汽车企业和消费者战略选择的主要影响因素,还必须关注违规处罚、补贴政策调整和消费者环保意识等因素的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d6d8/10824455/49695729d85e/pone.0297813.g001.jpg

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