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全球可再生能源贸易网络:模式和决定因素。

Global renewable energy trade network: patterns and determinants.

机构信息

School of International Business, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, 611130, Sichuan, China.

School of Economics and Trade, Hunan University, Changsha, 410079, Hunan, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Feb;31(10):15538-15558. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-32066-x. Epub 2024 Feb 1.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-024-32066-x
PMID:38296928
Abstract

The renewable energy product trade is critically important to global economic prospects and its rapid development, making it a key issue in international economics of much interest to scholars. Previous studies have paid attention to bilateral trade, yet we still know little about the patterns of renewable energy product trade and its evolution from the whole industry perspective. Based on bilateral trade data, complex network, as well as ERGM and TERGM, we build global renewable energy trade networks (GRETNs) during 2000-2018 and explore the patterns and determinants. The results show that (1) the GRETNs expand during 2000-2018, characterized by a small-world, reciprocity, degree disassortative, and export volume heterogeneity. (2) The GRETNs form four communities, and the community patterns greatly fluctuate over time. (3) Economies in North America, Europe, and Asia play dominant roles, while the USA, Germany, and China are the cores of the GRETNs. (4) Endogenous structure of reciprocity, structural embeddedness, and out-degree popularity are essential parts of the evolving patterns of GRETNs. Most trade relationships are developed between economies located within the same continent, participating in APEC or WTO, or having similar areas. There is heterophily in GDP and per capita income, and Matthew effects in GDP, urbanization, and industrialization rate. Countries that share a common geographic border, language, religion, or currency, being former colonies of the same colonialists, and having signed regional trade agreements are more likely to trade in renewable energy products.

摘要

可再生能源产品贸易对全球经济前景至关重要,其发展迅速,成为国际经济学中学者关注的一个关键问题。以往的研究关注于双边贸易,但我们仍然不太了解可再生能源产品贸易的模式及其从整个行业角度的演变。基于双边贸易数据、复杂网络以及 ERGM 和 TERGM,我们构建了 2000-2018 年全球可再生能源贸易网络(GRETNs),并探讨了其模式和决定因素。结果表明:(1)GRETNs 在 2000-2018 年间扩展,具有小世界、互惠、度非均匀分布和出口量异质性的特点。(2)GRETNs 形成了四个社区,社区模式随时间波动较大。(3)北美、欧洲和亚洲的经济体发挥主导作用,而美国、德国和中国是 GRETNs 的核心。(4)互惠的内源性结构、结构嵌入性和出度普及性是 GRETNs 演变模式的重要组成部分。大多数贸易关系是在位于同一大陆、参与 APEC 或 WTO 或具有相似面积的经济体之间发展起来的。GDP 和人均收入存在异质性,而 GDP、城市化和工业化率存在马太效应。共享地理边界、语言、宗教或货币、曾是同一殖民主义者的殖民地以及签署了区域贸易协定的国家更有可能进行可再生能源产品贸易。

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