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Random forest can accurately predict the technique failure of peritoneal dialysis associated peritonitis patients.

作者信息

Zang Zhiyun, Xu Qijiang, Zhou Xueli, Ma Niya, Pu Li, Tang Yi, Li Zi

机构信息

Department of Nephrology, Institute of Nephrology, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.

Department of Nephrology, Yibin Second People's Hospital, Yibin, China.

出版信息

Front Med (Lausanne). 2024 Jan 17;10:1335232. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2023.1335232. eCollection 2023.


DOI:10.3389/fmed.2023.1335232
PMID:38298506
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10829598/
Abstract

INSTRUCTIONS: Peritoneal dialysis associated peritonitis (PDAP) is a major cause of technique failure in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. The purpose of this study is to construct risk prediction models by multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms and select the best one to predict technique failure in PDAP patients accurately. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included maintenance PD patients in our center from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2021. The risk prediction models for technique failure were constructed based on five ML algorithms: random forest (RF), the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), decision tree, k nearest neighbor (KNN), and logistic regression (LR). The internal validation was conducted in the test cohort. RESULTS: Five hundred and eight episodes of peritonitis were included in this study. The technique failure accounted for 26.38%, and the mortality rate was 4.53%. There were resignificant statistical differences between technique failure group and technique survival group in multiple baseline characteristics. The RF prediction model is the best able to predict the technique failure in PDAP patients, with the accuracy of 93.70% and area under curve (AUC) of 0.916. The sensitivity and specificity of this model was 96.67 and 86.49%, respectively. CONCLUSION: RF prediction model could accurately predict the technique failure of PDAP patients, which demonstrated excellent predictive performance and may assist in clinical decision making.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6684/10829598/542c696862ff/fmed-10-1335232-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6684/10829598/3d1e48417fba/fmed-10-1335232-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6684/10829598/d37a59de07ce/fmed-10-1335232-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6684/10829598/824087a0b5e6/fmed-10-1335232-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6684/10829598/cc8ee608d33b/fmed-10-1335232-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6684/10829598/542c696862ff/fmed-10-1335232-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6684/10829598/3d1e48417fba/fmed-10-1335232-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6684/10829598/d37a59de07ce/fmed-10-1335232-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6684/10829598/824087a0b5e6/fmed-10-1335232-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6684/10829598/cc8ee608d33b/fmed-10-1335232-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6684/10829598/542c696862ff/fmed-10-1335232-g005.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Random forest can accurately predict the technique failure of peritoneal dialysis associated peritonitis patients.

Front Med (Lausanne). 2024-1-17

[2]
Construction and validation of a predictive model for the risk of peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis after peritoneal dialysis catheterization.

Front Med (Lausanne). 2023-9-15

[3]
Higher N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide level at onset of peritoneal dialysis-related peritonitis is a risk factor for technique failure.

BMC Nephrol. 2024-5-17

[4]
[Development and validation of a prediction model for treatment failure in peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis patients: a multicenter study].

Nan Fang Yi Ke Da Xue Xue Bao. 2022-4-20

[5]
Comparison of clinical features and outcomes in peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis patients with and without diabetes: A multicenter retrospective cohort study.

World J Diabetes. 2020-10-15

[6]
Development of a clinical risk score system for peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis treatment failure.

BMC Nephrol. 2023-8-7

[7]
Predicting Prolonged Length of Hospital Stay for Peritoneal Dialysis-Treated Patients Using Stacked Generalization: Model Development and Validation Study.

JMIR Med Inform. 2021-5-19

[8]
Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting gram-negative bacterial infections in patients with peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis.

Heliyon. 2023-7-23

[9]
[Risk factors of occurrence and treatment failure of peritoneal dialysis-associated polymicrobial peritonitis: a multicenter retrospective study].

Nan Fang Yi Ke Da Xue Xue Bao. 2021-8-31

[10]
[Construction of a predictive model for in-hospital mortality of sepsis patients in intensive care unit based on machine learning].

Zhonghua Wei Zhong Bing Ji Jiu Yi Xue. 2023-7

引用本文的文献

[1]
Unveiling risk factors: a prognostic model of frequent peritonitis in peritoneal dialysis patients.

Front Med (Lausanne). 2025-1-29

[2]
A predictive model of treatment effectiveness of refractory peritoneal dialysis-related peritonitis in patients with peritoneal dialysis: a single-center observational study in South China.

Clin Kidney J. 2024-10-29

本文引用的文献

[1]
Development and validation of a web-based artificial intelligence prediction model to assess massive intraoperative blood loss for metastatic spinal disease using machine learning techniques.

Spine J. 2024-1

[2]
Mycoplasma hominis, Ureaplasma parvum, and Ureaplasma urealyticum: hidden pathogens in peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis.

Int J Infect Dis. 2023-6

[3]
Calculated inflammatory markers derived from complete blood count results, along with routine laboratory and clinical data, predict treatment failure of acute peritonitis in chronic peritoneal dialysis patients.

Ren Fail. 2023-12

[4]
Biological signatures and prediction of an immunosuppressive status-persistent critical illness-among orthopedic trauma patients using machine learning techniques.

Front Immunol. 2022

[5]
A nomogram predicts cardiovascular events in patients with peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis.

Ren Fail. 2022-12

[6]
Development and Validation of a Prediction Model for the Cure of Peritoneal Dialysis-Associated Peritonitis: A Multicenter Observational Study.

Front Med (Lausanne). 2022-4-26

[7]
ISPD peritonitis guideline recommendations: 2022 update on prevention and treatment.

Perit Dial Int. 2022-3

[8]
Machine learning meets omics: applications and perspectives.

Brief Bioinform. 2022-1-17

[9]
Novel Predictors and Risk Score of Treatment Failure in Peritoneal Dialysis-Related Peritonitis.

Front Med (Lausanne). 2021-3-19

[10]
The impact of volume overload on technique failure in incident peritoneal dialysis patients.

Clin Kidney J. 2019-12-22

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