• 文献检索
  • 文档翻译
  • 深度研究
  • 学术资讯
  • Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
  • 邀请有礼
  • 套餐&价格
  • 历史记录
应用&插件
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
定价
高级版会员购买积分包购买API积分包
服务
文献检索文档翻译深度研究API 文档MCP 服务
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利：CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2026

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法，用中文像聊天一样搜索，搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐，让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版，准确专业，支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式，支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述，25分钟生成高质量综述，智能提取关键信息，辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验

预测构树（paper mulberry）的主要花粉季节。

Predicting the main pollen season of Broussonetia Papyrifera (paper mulberry) tree.

机构信息

The Allergy & Asthma Institute, Islamabad, Pakistan.

Department of Computer Science, National University of Modern Languages, Rawalpindi, Pakistan.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Feb 2;19(2):e0296878. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0296878. eCollection 2024.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0296878
PMID:38306347
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10836668/
Abstract

Paper mulberry pollen, declared a pest in several countries including Pakistan, can trigger severe allergies and cause asthma attacks. We aimed to develop an algorithm that could accurately predict high pollen days to underpin an alert system that would allow patients to take timely precautionary measures. We developed and validated two prediction models that take historical pollen and weather data as their input to predict the start date and peak date of the pollen season in Islamabad, the capital city of Pakistan. The first model is based on linear regression and the second one is based on phenological modelling. We tested our models on an original and comprehensive dataset from Islamabad. The mean absolute errors (MAEs) for the start day are 2.3 and 3.7 days for the linear and phenological models, respectively, while for the peak day, the MAEs are 3.3 and 4.0 days, respectively. These encouraging results could be used in a website or app to notify patients and healthcare providers to start preparing for the paper mulberry pollen season. Timely action could reduce the burden of symptoms, mitigate the risk of acute attacks and potentially prevent deaths due to acute pollen-induced allergy.

摘要

构树花粉在包括巴基斯坦在内的多个国家被宣布为害虫，它可引发严重过敏反应，并导致哮喘发作。我们旨在开发一种算法，能够准确预测高花粉日，以支持预警系统，使患者能够及时采取预防措施。我们开发并验证了两个预测模型，这些模型将历史花粉和天气数据作为输入，以预测巴基斯坦首都伊斯兰堡花粉季节的开始日期和高峰期。第一个模型基于线性回归，第二个模型基于物候建模。我们在来自伊斯兰堡的原始和综合数据集上测试了我们的模型。线性和物候模型的开始日期的平均绝对误差（MAE）分别为 2.3 和 3.7 天，而高峰期的 MAE 分别为 3.3 和 4.0 天。这些令人鼓舞的结果可用于网站或应用程序，通知患者和医疗保健提供者开始为构树花粉季节做准备。及时采取行动可以减轻症状负担，降低急性发作的风险，并可能防止因急性花粉引起的过敏反应而导致死亡。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/2efb602320f2/pone.0296878.g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/cd7cb22721a6/pone.0296878.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/8d6d9204548b/pone.0296878.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/d033e8e9b999/pone.0296878.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/cbf1961dc6a4/pone.0296878.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/646729a4f1f1/pone.0296878.g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/2efb602320f2/pone.0296878.g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/cd7cb22721a6/pone.0296878.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/8d6d9204548b/pone.0296878.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/d033e8e9b999/pone.0296878.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/cbf1961dc6a4/pone.0296878.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/646729a4f1f1/pone.0296878.g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0895/10836668/2efb602320f2/pone.0296878.g006.jpg

相似文献

1
Predicting the main pollen season of Broussonetia Papyrifera (paper mulberry) tree.预测构树（paper mulberry）的主要花粉季节。
PLoS One. 2024 Feb 2;19(2):e0296878. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0296878. eCollection 2024.
2
Assessment of the health impact of paper mulberry (Broussonetia papyrifera L.), an invasive plant species in Islamabad, Pakistan.评估构树（Broussonetia papyrifera L.）对健康的影响，构树是巴基斯坦伊斯兰堡的一种入侵植物物种。
Geospat Health. 2019 Nov 12;14(2). doi: 10.4081/gh.2019.727.
3
Association of asthma exacerbations with paper mulberry (Broussenetia papyrifera) pollen in Islamabad: An observational study.哮喘发作与伊斯兰堡纸皮桦（Broussenetia papyrifera）花粉的关联：一项观察性研究。
J Glob Health. 2023 Sep 1;13:04091. doi: 10.7189/jogh.13.04091.
4
Immunoglobulin E reactivity and allergenic potency of Morus papyrifera (paper mulberry) pollen.杨属花粉（纸皮桑）的免疫球蛋白 E 反应性和变应原性。
J Investig Allergol Clin Immunol. 2013;23(3):168-75.
5
Pollen of Broussonetia papyrifera: An emerging aeroallergen associated with allergic illness in Taiwan.构树花粉：一种与台湾地区过敏疾病相关的新兴空气过敏原。
Sci Total Environ. 2019 Mar 20;657:804-810. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.324. Epub 2018 Nov 22.
6
Broussonetia papyrifera (paper mulberry) pollen is an important cause of allergic rhinitis in Southwest China.构树花粉是中国西南地区变应性鼻炎的重要病因。
Clin Exp Allergy. 2022 Dec;52(12):1448-1451. doi: 10.1111/cea.14236. Epub 2022 Oct 6.
7
Application of a stable carbon isotope for identifying Broussonetia papyrifera pollen.利用稳定碳同位素鉴定构树花粉。
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Sep;26(26):27353-27361. doi: 10.1007/s11356-019-05952-y. Epub 2019 Jul 19.
8
Birch pollen, air pollution and their interactive effects on airway symptoms and peak expiratory flow in allergic asthma during pollen season - a panel study in Northern and Southern Sweden.桦树花粉、空气污染及其在花粉季节对过敏性哮喘气道症状和呼气峰值流量的交互影响——瑞典北部和南部的一项面板研究。
Environ Health. 2022 Jul 6;21(1):63. doi: 10.1186/s12940-022-00871-x.
9
Purification and identification of 72 kDa and 15 kDa allergens from Broussonetia papyrifera pollen.构树花粉中72 kDa和15 kDa过敏原的纯化与鉴定
Iran J Allergy Asthma Immunol. 2013 Aug 28;12(4):312-20.
10
Christmas tree allergy: mould and pollen studies.圣诞树过敏：霉菌与花粉研究
Can Med Assoc J. 1970 Dec 5;103(12):1272-6.

本文引用的文献

1
Effects of climate change on Platanus flowering in Western Mediterranean cities: Current trends and future projections.气候变化对西地中海城市悬铃木花期的影响：当前趋势和未来预测。
Sci Total Environ. 2024 Jan 1;906:167800. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167800. Epub 2023 Oct 12.
2
Pollen calendars and maps of allergenic pollen in North America.北美致敏花粉的花粉日历和地图。
Aerobiologia (Bologna). 2019;35(4):613-633. doi: 10.1007/s10453-019-09601-2. Epub 2019 Jul 17.
3
Predicting the start, peak and end of the Betula pollen season in Bavaria, Germany.
预测德国巴伐利亚州桦树花粉季节的开始、高峰和结束。
Sci Total Environ. 2019 Nov 10;690:1299-1309. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.06.485. Epub 2019 Jun 30.
4
Pollen of Broussonetia papyrifera: An emerging aeroallergen associated with allergic illness in Taiwan.构树花粉：一种与台湾地区过敏疾病相关的新兴空气过敏原。
Sci Total Environ. 2019 Mar 20;657:804-810. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.324. Epub 2018 Nov 22.
5
Allergy and Asthma Care in the Mobile Phone Era.移动电话时代的过敏与哮喘护理。
Clin Rev Allergy Immunol. 2019 Apr;56(2):161-173. doi: 10.1007/s12016-016-8542-y.
6
Mobile-health: A review of current state in 2015.移动健康：2015年现状综述
J Biomed Inform. 2015 Aug;56:265-72. doi: 10.1016/j.jbi.2015.06.003. Epub 2015 Jun 11.
7
Variation of the group 5 grass pollen allergen content of airborne pollen in relation to geographic location and time in season.与地理位置和季节时间有关的空气中花粉群 5 草花粉过敏原含量的变化。
J Allergy Clin Immunol. 2015 Jul;136(1):87-95.e6. doi: 10.1016/j.jaci.2015.01.049. Epub 2015 May 6.
8
Gamma, Gaussian and logistic distribution models for airborne pollen grains and fungal spore season dynamics.空气中花粉粒和真菌孢子季节动态的伽马分布、高斯分布和逻辑分布模型
Aerobiologia (Bologna). 2014;30(4):369-383. doi: 10.1007/s10453-014-9332-8. Epub 2014 Mar 18.
9
A randomized controlled trial to assess adherence to allergic rhinitis treatment following a daily short message service (SMS) via the mobile phone.一项通过手机每日发送短消息服务（SMS）以评估过敏性鼻炎治疗依从性的随机对照试验。
Int Arch Allergy Immunol. 2014;163(1):51-8. doi: 10.1159/000356317. Epub 2013 Nov 16.
10
Effects of airborne birch pollen levels on clinical symptoms of seasonal allergic rhinoconjunctivitis.空气中桦树花粉水平对季节性过敏性鼻结膜炎临床症状的影响。
Int Arch Allergy Immunol. 2014;163(1):43-50. doi: 10.1159/000355630. Epub 2013 Nov 16.