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早年经历中国饥荒与中年时期消化系统癌症风险的关系。

Early life exposure to Chinese famine and risk of digestive system cancer in midlife.

机构信息

School of Public Health, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China.

Digestive Department, Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, China.

出版信息

Appl Physiol Nutr Metab. 2024 Jun 1;49(6):751-761. doi: 10.1139/apnm-2023-0366. Epub 2024 Feb 12.

Abstract

To investigate whether early-life exposure to the Great Famine of 1959-1961 in China was associated with the risk of digestive system cancer. The prospective cohort study involved 17 997 participants from the Kailuan Study (Tangshan, China) that began in 2006. All participants were divided into three groups based on their date of birth. The unexposed group (born from 1 October 1962 to 30 September 1964), fetal-exposed group (born from 1 October 1959 to 30 December 1961), and early-childhood-exposed group (born from 1 October 1956 to 30 December 1958). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the association between early famine exposure and digestive system cancer. During the mean follow-up period of (10.4 ± 2.2) years, a total of 223 digestive system cancer events occurred. Including 54 cases in the unexposed group (62.14/100 000 person-years), 57 cases in the fetal-exposed group (114.8/100 000 person-years), and 112 cases in the early-childhood-exposure group (122.2/100 000 person-years). After adjusting covariates, compared with the unexposed group, the HR and 95% CI were 1.85 (1.28, 2.69) for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 1.92 (1.38, 2.66) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. No interactions were observed in our study. After classifying digestive system cancers, the HR and 95% CI were 2.02 (1.03, 3.97) for colorectal cancer for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 2.55 (1.43, 4.55) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. The HR and 95% CI were (1.13, 3.83) of liver cancer for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 1.15 (0.63, 2.10) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. Early-life famine exposure was associated with a higher risk of digestive system cancer in adulthood. Fetal-exposed individuals might increase the risk of colorectal cancer and liver cancer, and early childhood-exposed might increase the risk of colorectal cancer.

摘要

目的

探讨中国 1959-1961 年大饥荒对消化系统癌症发病风险的影响。

方法

本前瞻性队列研究纳入了来自中国开滦研究(唐山)的 17997 名参与者。所有参与者按出生日期分为 3 组:未暴露组(1962 年 10 月 1 日至 1964 年 9 月 30 日出生)、胎儿暴露组(1959 年 10 月 1 日至 1961 年 12 月 30 日出生)和幼儿暴露组(1956 年 10 月 1 日至 1958 年 12 月 30 日出生)。采用 Cox 比例风险模型分析早发性饥荒暴露与消化系统癌症之间的关系。在平均(10.4±2.2)年的随访期间,共发生 223 例消化系统癌症事件。未暴露组 54 例(62.14/100000 人年),胎儿暴露组 57 例(114.8/100000 人年),幼儿暴露组 112 例(122.2/100000 人年)。调整协变量后,与未暴露组相比,胎儿暴露组的 HR(95%CI)为 1.85(1.28,2.69),幼儿暴露组为 1.92(1.38,2.66)。本研究未观察到交互作用。在对消化系统癌症进行分类后,胎儿暴露组结直肠癌的 HR(95%CI)为 2.02(1.03,3.97),幼儿暴露组为 2.55(1.43,4.55)。胎儿暴露组肝癌的 HR(95%CI)为 1.13(3.83),幼儿暴露组为 1.15(0.63,2.10)。

结论

早发性饥荒暴露与成年后消化系统癌症风险升高有关。胎儿暴露可能会增加结直肠癌和肝癌的风险,幼儿暴露可能会增加结直肠癌的风险。

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