Department of Dermatology, University Hospital of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Department of Dermatology, University Hospital of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
JAMA Netw Open. 2024 Feb 5;7(2):e2356479. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.56479.
IMPORTANCE: The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in delayed access to medical care. Restrictions to health care specialists, staff shortages, and fear of SARS-CoV-2 infection led to interruptions in routine care, such as early melanoma detection; however, premature mortality and economic burden associated with this postponement have not been studied yet. OBJECTIVE: To determine the premature mortality and economic costs associated with suspended melanoma screenings during COVID-19 pandemic lockdowns by estimating the total burden of delayed melanoma diagnoses for Europe. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This multicenter economic evaluation used population-based data from patients aged at least 18 years with invasive primary cutaneous melanomas stages I to IV according to the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) seventh and eighth editions, including melanomas of unknown primary (T0). Data were collected from January 2017 to December 2021 in Switzerland and from January 2019 to December 2021 in Hungary. Data were used to develop an estimation of melanoma upstaging rates in AJCC stages, which was verified with peripandemic data. Years of life lost (YLL) were calculated and were, together with cost data, used for financial estimations. The total financial burden was assessed through direct and indirect treatment costs. Models were building using data from 50 072 patients aged 18 years and older with invasive primary cutaneous melanomas stages I to IV according to the AJCC seventh and eighth edition, including melanomas of unknown primary (T0) from 2 European tertiary centers. Data from European cancer registries included patient-based direct and indirect cost data, country-level economic indicators, melanoma incidence, and population rates per country. Data were analyzed from July 2021 to September 2022. EXPOSURE: COVID-19 lockdown-related delay of melanoma detection and consecutive public health and economic burden. As lockdown restrictions varied by country, lockdown scenario was defined as elimination of routine medical examinations and severely restricted access to follow-up examinations for at least 4 weeks. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Primary outcomes were the total burden of a delay in melanoma diagnosis during COVID-19 lockdown periods, measured using the direct (in US$) and indirect (calculated as YLL plus years lost due to disability [YLD] and disability-adjusted life-years [DALYs]) costs for Europe. Secondary outcomes included estimation of upstaging rate, estimated YLD, YLL, and DALY for each European country, absolute direct and indirect treatment costs per European country, proportion of the relative direct and indirect treatment costs for the countries, and European health expenditure. RESULTS: There were an estimated 111 464 (range, 52 454-295 051) YLL due to pandemic-associated delay in melanoma diagnosis in Europe, and estimated total additional costs were $7.65 (range, $3.60 to $20.25) billion. Indirect treatment costs were the main cost driver, accounting for 94.5% of total costs. Estimates for YLD in Europe resulted in 15 360 years for the 17% upstaging model, ranging from 7228 years (8% upstaging model) to 40 660 years (45% upstaging model). Together, YLL and YLD constitute the overall disease burden, ranging from 59 682 DALYs (8% upstaging model) to 335 711 DALYs (45% upstaging model), with 126 824 DALYs for the real-world 17% scenario. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This economic analysis emphasizes the importance of continuing secondary skin cancer prevention measures during pandemics. Beyond the personal outcomes of a delayed melanoma diagnosis, the additional economic and public health consequences are underscored, emphasizing the need to include indirect economic costs in future decision-making processes. These estimates on DALYs and the associated financial losses complement previous studies highlighting the cost-effectiveness of screening for melanoma.
重要性:COVID-19 大流行导致医疗服务获取延迟。医疗保健专家、员工短缺以及对 SARS-CoV-2 感染的恐惧,导致常规护理中断,例如早期黑色素瘤检测;然而,尚未研究这种推迟所导致的过早死亡和经济负担。 目的:通过估计欧洲黑色素瘤延迟诊断的总负担,确定 COVID-19 大流行封锁期间暂停黑色素瘤筛查与过早死亡和经济成本之间的关系。 设计、地点和参与者:本项多中心经济评估使用了瑞士至少 18 岁患有 AJCC 第 7 版和第 8 版 I 至 IV 期侵袭性原发性皮肤黑色素瘤的患者的基于人群的数据,包括未知原发性(T0)的黑色素瘤。数据于 2017 年 1 月至 2021 年 12 月在瑞士和 2019 年 1 月至 2021 年 12 月在匈牙利收集。数据用于估计 AJCC 分期中的黑色素瘤升级率,该数据通过大流行期间的数据进行了验证。计算了失去的生命年(YLL),并与成本数据一起用于财务估算。通过直接和间接治疗成本评估了总财务负担。使用来自 2 个欧洲三级中心的 50722 名年龄在 18 岁及以上、患有 AJCC 第 7 版和第 8 版 I 至 IV 期侵袭性原发性皮肤黑色素瘤的患者的数据建立模型,包括未知原发性(T0)黑色素瘤。欧洲癌症登记处的数据包括患者的直接和间接成本数据、国家经济指标、黑色素瘤发病率以及各国的人口率。分析数据的时间为 2021 年 7 月至 2022 年 9 月。 暴露:与黑色素瘤检测延迟相关的 COVID-19 封锁以及随之而来的公共卫生和经济负担。由于各国的封锁限制不同,因此将封锁情况定义为至少 4 周取消常规医疗检查和严重限制随访检查。 主要结果和措施:主要结果是 COVID-19 封锁期间黑色素瘤诊断延迟的总负担,使用欧洲的直接(以美元计)和间接(计算为 YLL 加因残疾导致的生命年损失[YLD]和残疾调整生命年[DALY])成本来衡量。次要结果包括估计升级率、每个欧洲国家的估计 YLD、YLL 和 DALY、每个欧洲国家的直接和间接治疗费用绝对值、各国相对直接和间接治疗费用的比例以及欧洲卫生支出。 结果:由于与大流行相关的黑色素瘤诊断延迟,欧洲预计有 111464 人(范围 52454-295051)失去生命年,估计额外总成本为 76.5 亿美元(范围 36.00 美元至 202.50 美元)。间接治疗成本是主要的成本驱动因素,占总成本的 94.5%。欧洲的 YLD 估计结果为 17%升级模型的 15360 年,范围从 8%升级模型的 7228 年到 45%升级模型的 40660 年。YLL 和 YLD 共同构成了疾病的总体负担,范围从 8%升级模型的 59682 DALY 到 45%升级模型的 335711 DALY,真实世界的 17%情况下为 126824 DALY。 结论和相关性:这项经济分析强调了在大流行期间继续进行二级皮肤癌预防措施的重要性。除了黑色素瘤诊断延迟的个人结果外,还强调了额外的经济和公共卫生后果,强调了在未来的决策过程中纳入间接经济成本的必要性。这些关于 DALY 的估计和相关的财务损失补充了以前强调黑色素瘤筛查成本效益的研究。
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