Institute for Environmental Studies, Environmental Geography Group, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1111, 1081HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Ambio. 2024 Jun;53(6):916-932. doi: 10.1007/s13280-024-01983-z. Epub 2024 Feb 16.
European agricultural policies increasingly incorporate mechanisms for delivery of public goods. Sustainable public good delivery requires alignment between societal demand and landscape supply. However, the variation of demands or desires regarding future public good delivery among society is hardly known. We inventoried the desires for public goods across Dutch society, and projections of agricultural supply. A multi-method approach was used to find agreement levels between desired and expected change in good delivery. Most stakeholders expressed a desire for biodiversity and climate regulation from agriculture, whilst desire for natural heritage and recreation was less common. The utility of a public good to a stakeholder appears to influence its desire. Scenarios for agriculture focus on extensification, sustainable intensification, regionalization, or meadow bird conservation. Regionalized scenarios showed the highest agreement between public good supply and desire. Maximizing alignment between desire and supply thus requires a challenging transition towards region-specific agricultural sustainability strategies.
欧洲农业政策越来越多地纳入提供公益的机制。可持续的公益提供需要社会需求与景观供应之间的一致。然而，社会对未来公益提供的需求或愿望的变化几乎不得而知。我们对荷兰社会的公益需求进行了清查，并对农业供应进行了预测。我们采用了一种多方法的方法来寻找公益提供的预期变化与期望变化之间的一致水平。大多数利益相关者表示希望农业能够提供生物多样性和气候调节，而对自然遗产和娱乐的需求则不太常见。公共利益对利益相关者的效用似乎会影响他们的愿望。农业的情景侧重于外延化、可持续集约化、区域化或草地鸟类保护。区域化情景显示出公益供应与愿望之间的最高一致性。因此，要实现愿望与供应之间的最大一致性，就需要朝着针对特定地区的农业可持续性战略进行具有挑战性的转变。
