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迈向更绿色的未来:审视亚洲国内生产总值、能源消耗和贸易开放度背景下的碳排放动态。

Towards a greener future: examining carbon emission dynamics in Asia amid gross domestic product, energy consumption, and trade openness.

机构信息

SLIIT Business School, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, New Kandy Road, Malabe, Sri Lanka.

Department of Information Management, SLIIT Business School, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, New Kandy Road, Malabe, Sri Lanka.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Mar;31(14):21488-21508. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-32475-y. Epub 2024 Feb 23.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-024-32475-y
PMID:38393554
Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of gross domestic product, energy consumption, and trade openness on carbon emission in Asia. Among the 48 countries in Asia, 42 were included in the analysis, spanning a period of 20 years. Given that Asia is the predominant contributor, accounting for 53% of global emissions as of 2019, a comprehensive examination at both continental and individual country levels becomes imperative. Such an approach aligns with local, regional, and global development agendas, contributing directly and indirectly to climate change mitigation. The analytical techniques employed in this study encompassed panel regression and multiple linear regression, illuminating the specific contributions of each country to the study variables and their impact on carbon emissions. The findings suggest that gross domestic product (13 out of 42 countries), energy consumption (21 out of 42 countries), and trade openness (eight out of 42 countries) have a highly significant impact (p < 0.01) on carbon emissions in Asia. Energy consumption plays a vital role in increasing carbon emissions in Asia, driven by rising populations, urbanisation, and oil and gas production. Policymakers can take several actions such as adopting a carbon pricing system, using sustainable transportation, renewable energy development, and international cooperation within Asia to reach the goal of being carbon neutral by 2050.

摘要

本研究旨在探讨亚洲国内生产总值、能源消耗和贸易开放度对碳排放的影响。在亚洲的 48 个国家中,有 42 个国家被纳入分析,时间跨度为 20 年。鉴于亚洲是主要的碳排放贡献者,占 2019 年全球排放量的 53%,因此在大陆和个别国家层面进行全面考察是必要的。这种方法符合地方、区域和全球发展议程,直接和间接地为气候变化缓解做出贡献。本研究采用的分析技术包括面板回归和多元线性回归,揭示了每个国家对研究变量的具体贡献及其对碳排放的影响。研究结果表明,国内生产总值(42 个国家中有 13 个)、能源消耗(42 个国家中有 21 个)和贸易开放度(42 个国家中有 8 个)对亚洲的碳排放有高度显著的影响(p<0.01)。能源消耗在亚洲的碳排放增加中起着至关重要的作用,这是由人口增长、城市化和石油和天然气生产推动的。政策制定者可以采取多种行动,如采用碳定价系统、使用可持续交通、开发可再生能源以及在亚洲内部开展国际合作,以实现到 2050 年实现碳中和的目标。

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Environ Dev Sustain. 2023 Mar 16:1-19. doi: 10.1007/s10668-023-03104-4.
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A continental and global assessment of the role of energy consumption, total natural resource rent, and economic growth as determinants of carbon emissions.
对能源消耗、自然资源总租金和经济增长在决定碳排放方面的作用进行的大陆和全球评估。
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