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基于卷积神经网络的科技领域青年人才流动变化综合预测与控制

Integrated prediction and control of mobility changes of young talents in the field of science and technology based on convolutional neural network.

作者信息

Xia Lianfeng, Meng Fanshuai

机构信息

Henan Polytechnic, Zhengzhou, 450046, China.

Mongolian University of Life Sciences, Ulaanbaatar, 17024, Mongolia.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Feb 10;10(4):e25950. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e25950. eCollection 2024 Feb 29.

Abstract

As the scientific and technological levels continue to rise, the dynamics of young talent within these fields are increasingly significant. Currently, there is a lack of comprehensive models for predicting the movement of young professionals in science and technology. To address this gap, this study introduces an integrated approach to forecasting and managing the flow of these talents, leveraging the power of convolutional neural networks (CNNs). The performance test of the proposed method shows that the prediction accuracy of this method is 76.98%, which is superior to the two comparison methods. In addition, the results showed that the average error of the model was 0.0285 lower than that of the model based on the recurrent prediction error (RPE) algorithm learning algorithm, and the average time was 41.6 s lower than that of the model based on the backpropagation (BP) learning algorithm. In predicting the flow of young talent, the study uses flow characteristics including personal characteristics, occupational characteristics, organizational characteristics and network characteristics. Through the above results, the study found that convolutional neural network can effectively use these features to predict the flow of young talents, and its model is superior to other commonly used models in processing speed and accuracy. The above results indicate that the model can provide organizations and government agencies with useful information about the flow trend of young talents, and help them to formulate better talent management strategies.

摘要

随着科技水平不断提高,这些领域内年轻人才的动态变得越发重要。目前,缺乏用于预测科技领域年轻专业人员流动的综合模型。为弥补这一差距,本研究引入一种综合方法,利用卷积神经网络(CNN)的力量来预测和管理这些人才的流动。所提方法的性能测试表明,该方法的预测准确率为76.98%,优于两种比较方法。此外,结果显示该模型的平均误差比基于递归预测误差(RPE)算法学习算法的模型低0.0285,平均时间比基于反向传播(BP)学习算法的模型低41.6秒。在预测年轻人才流动时,该研究使用了包括个人特征、职业特征、组织特征和网络特征在内的流动特征。通过上述结果,该研究发现卷积神经网络能够有效利用这些特征来预测年轻人才的流动,并且其模型在处理速度和准确性方面优于其他常用模型。上述结果表明,该模型可为组织和政府机构提供有关年轻人才流动趋势的有用信息,并帮助它们制定更好的人才管理策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/108e/10906157/37bcc447a3e6/gr1.jpg

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