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中国长江经济带与黄河流域区域协调发展水平及驱动因素的比较分析

A comparative analysis of the levels and drivers of regional coordinated development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt and Yellow River Basin, China.

作者信息

Yang Xiaolin, Feng Zengwei, Chen Yiyan, Xu Xiangyang

机构信息

School of Emergency Management, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Feb 20;10(5):e26513. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e26513. eCollection 2024 Mar 15.

Abstract

Positioned in the era of the transformation of China's primary social contradictions, this study delves into the new connotations of regional coordinated development(RCD) from the perspective of "factors" coordination within the region and constructs an RCD evaluation system from five subsystems of regional economic coordination(REC), urban-rural coordination(URC), economic and social coordination(EASC), resource and environmental coordination(RAEC), and material and spiritual civilization coordination(MASCC). Then, the Entropy weight-TOPSIS model is used to evaluate the RCD levels of the 19 provinces located in the Yangtze River Economic Belt(YREB) and Yellow River Basin(YRB) from 2010 to 2019, and the two-way fixed-effects model is employed to illustrate the driving mechanisms of various influencing factors on the RCD in YRB and YREB. The results show that:(1)the RCD levels of YRB and YREB show a fluctuating upward trend during 2010 and 2019, however, both regions have low RCD levels, as seen by the mean RCD indices for YREB and YRB, which are only 0.433 and 0.309, respectively. (2) The RCD level of YREB is higher than that of YEB. In 2019, the "coordinated" provinces in YRB and YREB account for 37.50% and 81.82% of the total number of provinces in the basins, respectively, the "uncoordinated" and "low coordinated" provinces all located in YRB. (3) The RCD of YRB and YREB is significantly improved by REC, URC and RAEC, but not significantly positively by MASCC or EASC, and insufficient development of MASCC is the main contradiction limiting the increase in the RCD level of YRB, while the low level of EASC has become the main obstacle limiting the RCD of YREB. (4)Finally, based on the varying impact degrees and directions of different influencing factors on the RCD in YRB and YREB, the recommendations to promote RCD are proposed.

摘要

立足中国社会主要矛盾转变的时代背景,本研究从区域内“要素”协调的视角深入探讨区域协调发展的新内涵,并从区域经济协调、城乡协调、经济社会协调、资源环境协调、物质文明与精神文明协调五个子系统构建区域协调发展评价体系。然后,运用熵权-TOPSIS模型对长江经济带和黄河流域19个省份2010—2019年的区域协调发展水平进行评价,并采用双向固定效应模型阐释各影响因素对黄河流域和长江经济带区域协调发展的驱动机制。研究结果表明:(1)2010—2019年黄河流域和长江经济带的区域协调发展水平呈波动上升趋势,但两区域的区域协调发展水平均较低,长江经济带和黄河流域的区域协调发展指数均值分别仅为0.433和0.309。(2)长江经济带的区域协调发展水平高于黄河流域。2019年,黄河流域和长江经济带“协调”省份分别占流域省份总数的37.50%和81.82%,“不协调”和“低协调”省份均位于黄河流域。(3)区域经济协调、城乡协调和资源环境协调对黄河流域和长江经济带的区域协调发展有显著促进作用,但物质文明与精神文明协调和经济社会协调对区域协调发展的正向促进作用不显著,物质文明与精神文明协调发展不足是制约黄河流域区域协调发展水平提升的主要矛盾,而经济社会协调水平较低成为制约长江经济带区域协调发展的主要障碍。(4)最后,基于不同影响因素对黄河流域和长江经济带区域协调发展的影响程度和方向差异,提出促进区域协调发展的建议。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7fb5/10906318/68f392edd1cf/gr1.jpg

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