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通过接触绿色-蓝色空间来改变与温度相关的心血管疾病死亡率。

Modifying temperature-related cardiovascular mortality through green-blue space exposure.

作者信息

Hu Kejia, Wang Shiyi, Fei Fangrong, Song Jinglu, Chen Feng, Zhao Qi, Shen Yujie, Fu Jingqiao, Zhang Yunquan, Cheng Jian, Zhong Jieming, Yang Xuchao, Wu Jiayu

机构信息

School of Public Health, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310058, China.

Key Laboratory of Intelligent Preventive Medicine of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, 310058, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Ecotechnol. 2024 Mar 7;20:100408. doi: 10.1016/j.ese.2024.100408. eCollection 2024 Jul.

Abstract

Green-blue spaces (GBS) are pivotal in mitigating thermal discomfort. However, their management lacks guidelines rooted in epidemiological evidence for specific planning and design. Here we show how various GBS types modify the link between non-optimal temperatures and cardiovascular mortality across different thermal extremes. We merged fine-scale population density and GBS data to create novel GBS exposure index. A case time series approach was employed to analyse temperature-cardiovascular mortality association and the effect modifications of type-specific GBSs across 1085 subdistricts in south-eastern China. Our findings indicate that both green and blue spaces may significantly reduce high-temperature-related cardiovascular mortality risks (e.g., for low (5%) vs. high (95%) level of overall green spaces at 99th vs. minimum mortality temperature (MMT), Ratio of relative risk (RRR) = 1.14 (95% CI: 1.07, 1.21); for overall blue spaces, RRR = 1.20 (95% CI: 1.12, 1.29)), while specific blue space types offer protection against cold temperatures (e.g., for the rivers at 1st vs MMT, RRR = 1.17 (95% CI: 1.07, 1.28)). Notably, forests, parks, nature reserves, street greenery, and lakes are linked with lower heat-related cardiovascular mortality, whereas rivers and coasts mitigate cold-related cardiovascular mortality. Blue spaces provide greater benefits than green spaces. The severity of temperature extremes further amplifies GBS's protective effects. This study enhances our understanding of how type-specific GBS influences health risks associated with non-optimal temperatures, offering valuable insights for integrating GBS into climate adaptation strategies for maximal health benefits.

摘要

蓝绿空间(GBS)在缓解热不适方面至关重要。然而,其管理缺乏基于流行病学证据的特定规划和设计指南。在此,我们展示了不同类型的GBS如何在不同的极端温度下改变非最佳温度与心血管死亡率之间的联系。我们将精细尺度的人口密度和GBS数据合并,以创建新的GBS暴露指数。采用病例时间序列方法分析了中国东南部1085个街道的温度与心血管死亡率的关联以及特定类型GBS的效应修正。我们的研究结果表明,绿地和蓝地均可显著降低高温相关的心血管死亡风险(例如,在第99百分位数与最低死亡率温度(MMT)时,总体绿地低(5%)与高(95%)水平相比,相对风险比(RRR)=1.14(95%置信区间:1.07,1.21);总体蓝地,RRR=1.20(95%置信区间:1.12,1.29)),而特定类型的蓝地可抵御低温(例如,在第1百分位数与MMT时,河流的RRR=1.17(95%置信区间:1.07,1.28))。值得注意的是,森林、公园、自然保护区、街道绿化和湖泊与较低的高温相关心血管死亡率相关,而河流和海岸可降低低温相关的心血管死亡率。蓝地比绿地提供更大的益处。极端温度的严重程度进一步放大了GBS的保护作用。本研究增进了我们对特定类型GBS如何影响与非最佳温度相关的健康风险的理解,为将GBS纳入气候适应策略以实现最大健康效益提供了有价值的见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d599/10979139/cf7105dc02d0/ga1.jpg

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