Regional Psychiatric Centre, Correctional Service of Canada.
Department of Psychology, University of Saskatchewan.
Psychol Assess. 2017 Mar;29(3):293-303. doi: 10.1037/pas0000345. Epub 2016 Jun 2.
The present study provides an examination of dynamic sexual violence risk featuring the Stable-2007 (Hanson, Harris, Scott, & Helmus, 2007) and the Violence Risk Scale-Sexual Offender version (VRS-SO; Wong, Olver, Nicholaichuk, & Gordon, 2003) in a Canadian sample of 180 federally incarcerated sexual offenders who attended a high-intensity sexual offender treatment program. Archival pretreatment and posttreatment ratings were completed on the VRS-SO and Stable-2007, and recidivism data were obtained from official criminal records, with the sample being followed up approximately 10 years postrelease. VRS-SO pre- and posttreatment dynamic scores demonstrated significant predictive accuracy for sexual, nonsexual violent, any violent (including sexual), and general recidivism, while Stable-2007 pre- and posttreatment scores were significantly associated with the latter 3 outcomes; these associations were maintained after controlling for the Static-99R (Helmus, Thornton, Hanson, & Babchishin, 2012). Finally, significant pre-post differences, amounting to approximately three quarters of a standard deviation, were found on Stable-2007 and VRS-SO scores. VRS-SO change scores were significantly associated with reductions in nonsexual violent, any violent, and general recidivism (but not sexual recidivism) after controlling for baseline risk or pretreatment score, while Stable-2007 change scores did not significantly predict reductions in any recidivism outcomes. Applications of these tools within the context of dynamic sexual violence risk assessment incorporating the use of change information are discussed. (PsycINFO Database Record
本研究通过对参加高强度性罪犯治疗计划的 180 名联邦监禁性罪犯进行的动态性暴力风险评估,考察了稳定-2007(Hanson、Harris、Scott 和 Helmus,2007)和性罪犯暴力风险量表-修订版(VRS-SO;Wong、Olver、Nicholaichuk 和 Gordon,2003)。在 VRS-SO 和稳定-2007 上完成了治疗前和治疗后的档案评估,并且从官方犯罪记录中获得了累犯数据,对样本进行了大约 10 年的出狱后随访。VRS-SO 治疗前后的动态分数对性暴力、非性暴力、任何暴力(包括性暴力)和一般累犯具有显著的预测准确性,而稳定-2007 治疗前后的分数与后 3 种结果显著相关;在控制静态-99R(Helmus、Thornton、Hanson 和 Babchishin,2012)后,这些关联仍然存在。最后,在稳定-2007 和 VRS-SO 分数上发现了显著的治疗前后差异,大约相当于三分之二标准差。在控制基线风险或治疗前分数后,VRS-SO 变化分数与非性暴力、任何暴力和一般累犯减少显著相关(但与性累犯无关),而稳定-2007 变化分数与任何累犯结果的减少没有显著预测。讨论了在结合使用变化信息的动态性暴力风险评估背景下,这些工具的应用。