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能源脱碳:评估经合组织国家可再生能源对化石燃料的替代作用。

Decarbonizing energy: Evaluating fossil fuel displacement by renewables in OECD countries.

机构信息

Department of Economics, Hatay Mustafa Kemal University, Hatay, Türkiye.

Clinic of Economics, Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC), Baku, Azerbaijan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 May;31(21):31304-31313. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-33324-8. Epub 2024 Apr 17.

Abstract

Energy transition to greener systems has been a focal point in climate policy agendas across countries as the negative environmental impacts of fossil fuel technologies have become more evident Displacing fossil fuels with clean energy alternatives in this regard is essential for meeting global climate objectives. In this context, the study analyzes the role of disaggregated renewable energy sources on fossil fuel displacement in 36 Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries in the period 2000-2020. The findings demonstrate a discernible trend in the displacement of fossil fuels by various forms of renewable energy sources. It is found that to effectively displace 1% of fossil fuels, it is necessary to achieve an average increase of 1.15% in renewable generation capacity. In addition, a one-to-one displacement of fossil fuels occurs with hydropower, demonstrating its higher level of competitiveness and effectiveness in displacing fossil fuels. Moreover, there is a partial displacement of fossil fuels by solar and wind power. These findings suggest that renewable energy sources are progressively advancing towards effectively displacing fossil fuels.

摘要

向更绿色的系统进行能源转型一直是各国气候政策议程的重点,因为化石燃料技术的负面环境影响变得更加明显。在这方面,用清洁能源替代化石燃料对于实现全球气候目标至关重要。在这种情况下,本研究分析了 2000-2020 年间 36 个经济合作与发展组织(经合组织)国家中可再生能源在化石燃料替代方面的作用。研究结果表明,各种形式的可再生能源对化石燃料的替代呈现出明显的趋势。研究发现,要有效地替代 1%的化石燃料,就需要使可再生能源发电能力平均增加 1.15%。此外,水力发电可以实现化石燃料的一对一替代,这表明它在替代化石燃料方面具有更高的竞争力和效率。此外,太阳能和风能也可以部分替代化石燃料。这些发现表明,可再生能源正在逐步有效地替代化石燃料。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3688/11096244/8f6bd78a1850/11356_2024_33324_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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