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2003 年至 2020 年中国上海细颗粒物与心血管疾病死亡率的短期关联。

Short-term association of particulate matter and cardiovascular disease mortality in Shanghai, China between 2003 and 2020.

机构信息

School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2024 Apr 5;12:1388069. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1388069. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Evidence regarding the effects of particulate matter (PM) pollutants on cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality remains limited in Shanghai, China. Our objective was to thoroughly evaluate associations between PM pollutants and CVD mortality.

METHODS

Daily data on CVD mortality, PM (PM and PM) pollutants, and meteorological variables in Shanghai, China were gathered from 2003 to 2020. We utilized a time-series design with the generalized additive model to assess associations between PM pollutants and CVD mortality. Additionally, we conducted stratified analyses based on sex, age, education, and seasons using the same model.

RESULTS

We found that PM pollutants had a significant association with CVD mortality during the study period. Specifically, there was a 0.29% (95%CI: 0.14, 0.44) increase in CVD mortality for every 10 μg/m3 rise in a 2-day average (lag01) concentration of PM. A 0.28% (95% CI: 0.07, 0.49) increase in CVD mortality was associated with every 10 μg/m3 rise in PM concentration at lag01. Overall, the estimated effects of PM and PM were larger in the warm period compared with the cold period. Furthermore, males and the older adult exhibited greater susceptibility to PM and PM exposure, and individuals with lower education levels experienced more significant effects from PM and PM than those with higher education levels.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggested that PM pollutants have a substantial impact on increasing CVD mortality in Shanghai, China. Moreover, the impacts of air pollution on health may be altered by factors such as season, sex, age, and educational levels.

摘要

目的

关于颗粒物(PM)污染物对心血管疾病(CVD)死亡率影响的证据在中国上海仍然有限。我们的目的是全面评估 PM 污染物与 CVD 死亡率之间的关联。

方法

我们从 2003 年到 2020 年收集了中国上海的 CVD 死亡率、PM(PM 和 PM)污染物和气象变量的每日数据。我们采用时间序列设计和广义相加模型来评估 PM 污染物与 CVD 死亡率之间的关联。此外,我们还使用相同的模型根据性别、年龄、教育程度和季节进行了分层分析。

结果

我们发现 PM 污染物与研究期间的 CVD 死亡率存在显著关联。具体而言,PM 浓度每升高 10μg/m3,CVD 死亡率增加 0.29%(95%CI:0.14,0.44),滞后 01 期的 2 天平均浓度。PM 浓度每升高 10μg/m3,CVD 死亡率增加 0.28%(95% CI:0.07,0.49),在滞后 01 期。总体而言,与寒冷期相比,PM 和 PM 的估计效应在温暖期更大。此外,男性和老年人群对 PM 和 PM 暴露的敏感性更高,教育程度较低的个体受到 PM 和 PM 的影响比教育程度较高的个体更为显著。

结论

我们的研究结果表明,PM 污染物对中国上海 CVD 死亡率的增加有重大影响。此外,空气污染对健康的影响可能会因季节、性别、年龄和教育程度等因素而发生变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c52b/11034551/914e718de4ae/fpubh-12-1388069-g0001.jpg

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