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一维卷积神经网络(CNN)在长短期记忆网络(LSTM)中用于输入数据降维,以提高小时降雨径流建模的计算效率和准确性。

Use of one-dimensional CNN for input data size reduction in LSTM for improved computational efficiency and accuracy in hourly rainfall-runoff modeling.

机构信息

International Research Organization for Advanced Science and Technology, Kumamoto University, 2-39-1 Kurokami, Kumamoto, 860-8555, Japan; Center for Water Cycle, Marine Environment, and Disaster Management, Kumamoto University, 2-39-1 Kurokami, Kumamoto, 860-8555, Japan.

Hydraulics Laboratory, Department of Civil Engineering, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkiye.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2024 May;359:120931. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120931. Epub 2024 Apr 27.

Abstract

A deep learning architecture, denoted as CNNsLSTM, is proposed for hourly rainfall-runoff modeling in this study. The architecture involves a serial coupling of the one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN) and the long short-term memory (LSTM) network. In the proposed framework, multiple layers of the CNN component process long-term hourly meteorological time series data, while the LSTM component handles short-term meteorological time series data and utilizes the extracted features from the 1D-CNN. In order to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, it was implemented for hourly rainfall-runoff modeling in the Ishikari River watershed, Japan. A meteorological dataset, including precipitation, air temperature, evapotranspiration, longwave radiation, and shortwave radiation, was utilized as input. The results of the proposed approach (CNNsLSTM) were compared with those of previously proposed deep learning approaches used in hydrologic modeling, such as 1D-CNN, LSTM with only hourly inputs (LSTMwHour), a parallel architecture of 1D-CNN and LSTM (CNNpLSTM), and the LSTM architecture, which uses both daily and hourly input data (LSTMwDpH). Meteorological and runoff datasets were separated into training, validation, and test periods to train the deep learning model without overfitting, and evaluate the model with an independent dataset. The proposed approach clearly improved estimation accuracy compared to previously utilized deep learning approaches in rainfall = runoff modeling. In comparison with the observed flows, the median values of the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency for the test period were 0.455-0.469 for 1D-CNN, 0.639-0.656 for CNNpLSTM, 0.745 for LSTMwHour, 0.831 for LSTMwDpH, and 0.865-0.873 for the proposed CNNsLSTM. Furthermore, the proposed CNNsLSTM reduced the median root mean square error (RMSE) of 1D-CNN by 50.2%-51.4%, CNNpLSTM by 37.4%-40.8%, LSTMwHour by 27.3%-29.5%, and LSTMwDpH by 10.6%-13.4%. Particularly, the proposed CNNsLSTM improved the estimations for high flows (≧75th percentile) and peak flows (≧95th percentile). The computational speed of LSTMwDpH is the fastest among the five architectures. Although the computation speed of CNNsLSTM is slower than LSTMwDpH's, it is still 6.9-7.9 times faster than that of LSTMwHour. Therefore, the proposed CNNsLSTM would be an effective approach for flood management and hydraulic structure design, mainly under climate change conditions that require estimating hourly river flows using meteorological datasets.

摘要

提出了一种深度学习架构 CNNsLSTM,用于本研究中的逐时降雨径流建模。该架构涉及一维卷积神经网络(1D-CNN)和长短期记忆(LSTM)网络的串联耦合。在提出的框架中,CNN 组件的多个层处理长期逐时气象时间序列数据,而 LSTM 组件处理短期气象时间序列数据,并利用从 1D-CNN 提取的特征。为了验证所提出方法的有效性,将其应用于日本石狩川流域的逐时降雨径流建模。利用气象数据集作为输入,包括降水、气温、蒸散量、长波辐射和短波辐射。将所提出方法(CNNsLSTM)的结果与先前在水文建模中使用的深度学习方法(如 1D-CNN、仅使用逐时输入的 LSTM(LSTMwHour)、1D-CNN 和 LSTM 的并行架构(CNNpLSTM)以及同时使用日和逐时输入数据的 LSTM 架构(LSTMwDpH))进行比较。气象和径流数据集被分为训练、验证和测试期,以在没有过拟合的情况下训练深度学习模型,并使用独立数据集对模型进行评估。与之前用于降雨径流建模的深度学习方法相比,所提出的方法明显提高了估计精度。与观测流量相比,测试期纳什效率中位数分别为 0.455-0.469 用于 1D-CNN、0.639-0.656 用于 CNNpLSTM、0.745 用于 LSTMwHour、0.831 用于 LSTMwDpH 和 0.865-0.873 用于所提出的 CNNsLSTM。此外,所提出的 CNNsLSTM 将 1D-CNN 的中值均方根误差(RMSE)降低了 50.2%-51.4%、CNNpLSTM 降低了 37.4%-40.8%、LSTMwHour 降低了 27.3%-29.5%、LSTMwDpH 降低了 10.6%-13.4%。特别是,所提出的 CNNsLSTM 提高了对高流量(≧75%分位数)和峰值流量(≧95%分位数)的估计。五个架构中 LSTMwDpH 的计算速度最快。虽然 CNNsLSTM 的计算速度比 LSTMwDpH 慢,但仍比 LSTMwHour 快 6.9-7.9 倍。因此,在需要使用气象数据集估计逐时河流量的气候变化条件下,所提出的 CNNsLSTM 将是洪水管理和水力结构设计的有效方法。

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